Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SLGN analysis

Silgan Holdings Inc.Packaging & Containers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc. · Packaging & Containers
FCF$343mC
Rev+8.4%B
D/E2.03C+
P/E16.6xB+
PEG0.79A-
59.1Score
$42.39$4.5B
1Y Target$55.31Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$69.82Compound horizon
10Y Target$89.55Long-dated conviction
FCF$343mTTM
C
FCF $343m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+8.4%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E2.03
C+
D/E 2.03 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E16.6x
B+
P/E 16.6 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.79
A-
PEG 0.79 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 59.1
Quality53.7
Growth72.3
Value53.2
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
14% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value40% belowest. fair value ~$70
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC3.9% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $4.5b. 14% off the 52-week high of $49.55. PEG 0.79 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $55.31 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 127% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 2.03 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $55.31 (13-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $69.82 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $89.55 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SLGN vs the Top Picks average

PillarSLGNBook avgDiff
Quality0.540.84-0.30
Growth0.720.84-0.12
Value0.530.78-0.25

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.9 over 47 daily scores
From 60.0 (Jun 22) → 59.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.2%
90-day change+0.2%
Forward EPS estimate$4.09

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SLGN to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
47
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$31.79
25% below $42.39
$ at risk if stopped
$498.08
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN): score, valuation & FAQ

Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) is a Packaging & Containers company that scores 59.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, SLGN sits about 40% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SLGN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SLGN 59.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Silgan Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SLGN score 59.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SLGN earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $42.39, SLGN sits about 40% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SLGN?

D/E 2.03 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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