Packaging & Containers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
SLGN
Silgan Holdings Inc. · Packaging & Containers
60.3Score
$35.44Oct 9 close$3.7B
1Y Target$53.85Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$67.98Compound horizon
10Y Target$87.18Long-dated conviction
FCF$343mTTM · 06/26C
FCF $343m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+8.4%TTM YoYB
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E2.03C+
D/E 2.03 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E13.9xB+
P/E 13.9 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.79A-
PEG 0.79 — strong; the growth comes cheap
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 60.3
Quality58.2
Growth58.6
Value64.3
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
28% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value49% belowest. fair value ~$70
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~7% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability12% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC6.3% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $3.7b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $49.55 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.79 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $53.85 (implying +52% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 127% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
D/E 2.03 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $53.85 (13-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $67.98 at ~14% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $87.18 if the moat survives secular pressure.
SLGN vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
SLGN
Book avg
Diff
Quality
58
83
-25
Growth
59
89
-30
Value
64
76
-12
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · SLGN
Trend
+0.3 over 82 daily scores
From 60.0 (Jun 22) → 60.3 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
SLGN at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-0.1%
90-day change
+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$4.09
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SLGN to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · SLGN
$
%
%
Shares to buy
56
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$26.58
25% below $35.44
$ at risk if stopped
$496.16
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN): score, valuation & FAQ
Silgan Holdings Inc. (SLGN) is a Packaging & Containers company that scores 60.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, SLGN sits about 49% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is SLGN a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SLGN 60.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Silgan Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SLGN score 60.3 on Bull Rankings?
It grades evenly across the three pillars — quality 58.2, growth 58.6, value 64.3 out of 100 — so no single pillar is carrying the score. SLGN earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so SLGN is measured against Packaging & Containers peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is SLGN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $35.44, SLGN sits about 49% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 10% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 13.9x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in SLGN?
D/E 2.03 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Net margin 4.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.