Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) stock analysis
Packaging & Containers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
REYN
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. · Packaging & Containers
51.9Score
$22.01Oct 9 close$4.6B
1Y Target$27.14Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$34.27Compound horizon
10Y Target$43.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$326mTTM · 03/26C
FCF $326m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 03/26.
Rev+2.8%TTM YoYC
Revenue +2.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.71B+
D/E 0.71 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E13.4xA-
P/E 13.4 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG6.42est.D
PEG 6.42 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 51.9
Quality70.2
Growth41.0
Value48.5
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
19% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% belowest. fair value ~$35
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~3% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability19% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC10.7% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $4.6b. 19% off the 52-week high of $27.32. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $27.14 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 99% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $27.14 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $34.27 at ~9% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $43.95 if the moat survives secular pressure.
REYN vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
REYN
Book avg
Diff
Quality
70
83
-13
Growth
41
89
-48
Value
48
76
-28
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · REYN
Trend
-6.6 over 82 daily scores
From 58.5 (Jun 22) → 51.9 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
REYN at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
+2.7%
Forward EPS estimate
$1.71
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect REYN to earn is drifting higher (+2.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · REYN
$
%
%
Shares to buy
90
Position size
$1,981
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$16.51
25% below $22.01
$ at risk if stopped
$495.23
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN): score, valuation & FAQ
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. (REYN) is a Packaging & Containers company that scores 51.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and D/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, REYN sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is REYN a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores REYN 51.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does REYN score 51.9 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 70.2 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 41.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. REYN earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so REYN is measured against Packaging & Containers peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is REYN overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $22.01, REYN sits about 37% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 13.4x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in REYN?
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.