Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CCK analysis

Crown Holdings, Inc.Packaging & Containers. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

CCK
Crown Holdings, Inc. · Packaging & Containers
FCF$995mC+
Rev+4.8%C+
D/E1.90C+
P/E17.4xB+
PEG0.64A-
70.8Score
$109.71$12.3B
1Y Target$125.23Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$158.10Compound horizon
10Y Target$202.76Long-dated conviction
FCF$995mTTM
C+
FCF $995m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+4.8%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.8% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.90
C+
D/E 1.90 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E17.4x
B+
P/E 17.4 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.64
A-
PEG 0.64 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 70.8
Quality0.75
Growth0.65
Value0.73
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
6% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value50% belowest. fair value ~$221
Quality signals · context only
ROIC13.4% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Packaging & Containers · market cap $12.3b. 6% off the 52-week high of $116.62. PEG 0.64 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $125.23 (implying +14% upside).
Moat
ROE 25% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 138% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $125.23 (13-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $158.10 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $202.76 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,975
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$82.28
25% below $109.71
$ at risk if stopped
$493.69
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK): score, valuation & FAQ

Crown Holdings, Inc. (CCK) is a Packaging & Containers company that scores 70.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, CCK sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is CCK a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CCK 70.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Crown Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CCK score 70.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CCK earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CCK overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $109.71, CCK sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 17.4x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CCK?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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