Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

RACE analysis

Ferrari N.V.Auto Manufacturers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Luxury & Premium Brands
RACE
Ferrari N.V. · Auto Manufacturers
FCF$1.7bC+
Rev+7.0%B
D/E0.86B
P/E40.3xC
PEG4.10D
31.5Score
$424.44$74.6B
1Y Target$464.80Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$680.51Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,009Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+7.0%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.0% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.86
B
D/E 0.86 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E40.3x
C
P/E 40.3 — expensive vs Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG4.10
D
PEG 4.10 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 31.5
Quality88.3
Growth50.0
Value8.2
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
  • Foreign reporter (EUR)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value72% aboveest. fair value ~$247
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~20% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability38% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.5% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto Manufacturers · market cap $74.6b. 16% off the 52-week high of $504.49. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $464.80 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
Net margin 22% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 41% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $74.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trailing P/E 40x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $464.80 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $680.51 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,009 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

RACE vs the Top Picks average

PillarRACEBook avgDiff
Quality0.880.84+0.05
Growth0.500.87-0.37
Value0.080.76-0.67

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.5 over 48 daily scores
From 33.0 (Jun 22) → 31.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+4.2%
90-day change+2.4%
Forward EPS estimate$12.80

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect RACE to earn is drifting higher (+2.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,698
3.4% of portfolio
Stop price
$318.33
25% below $424.44
$ at risk if stopped
$424.44
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Ferrari N.V. (RACE): score, valuation & FAQ

Ferrari N.V. (RACE) is a Auto Manufacturers company that scores 31.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags PEG (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, RACE sits about 72% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 20% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is RACE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RACE 31.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Ferrari N.V.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RACE score 31.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RACE grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is RACE overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $424.44, RACE sits about 72% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 20% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 40.3x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in RACE?

Trailing P/E 40x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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