1Y Target$120.60Near-term target
5Y Target$149.44Compound horizon
10Y Target$190.75Long-dated conviction
FCF$202mTTM · 03/26CFCF $202m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+9.1%TTM YoYBRevenue +9.1% — at or above S&P median · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.69totalBD/E 0.69 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E13.4xB+P/E 13.4 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG1.47proxyBPEG 1.47 — acceptable premium for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Auto Components · market cap $2.7b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $159.66 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 30% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $120.60 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $149.44 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $190.75 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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