Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

LCII analysis

LCI IndustriesRecreational Vehicles. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

LCII
LCI Industries · Recreational Vehicles
FCF$202mC
Rev+9.1%B
D/E0.89B
P/E12.5xA-
PEG1.04B+
69Score
$103.50$2.5B
1Y Target$136.60Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$172.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$221.17Long-dated conviction
FCF$202mTTM
C
FCF $202m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+9.1%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.89
B
D/E 0.89 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.5x
A-
P/E 12.5 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.04
B+
PEG 1.04 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 69
Quality0.65
Growth0.74
Value0.69
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
35% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value21% belowest. fair value ~$132
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~2% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability31% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.0% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Recreational Vehicles · market cap $2.5b. Down 35% from 52-week high of $159.66 — deep drawdown territory. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $136.60 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 100% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $136.60 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $172.45 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $221.17 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

LCII vs the Top Picks average

PillarLCIIBook avgDiff
Quality0.650.83-0.18
Growth0.740.91-0.17
Value0.690.75-0.06

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-2.4 over 34 daily scores
From 71.4 (Jun 22) → 69.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
19
Position size
$1,967
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$77.63
25% below $103.50
$ at risk if stopped
$491.63
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

LCI Industries (LCII): score, valuation & FAQ

LCI Industries (LCII) is a Recreational Vehicles company that scores 69 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, LCII sits about 21% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is LCII a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LCII 69 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of LCI Industries's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LCII score 69 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). LCII earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is LCII overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $103.50, LCII sits about 21% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 2% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.5x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LCII?

Down 35% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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