Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ALV analysis

Autoliv, Inc.Auto Parts. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

ALV
Autoliv, Inc. · Auto Parts
FCF$580mC+
Rev+4.1%C+
D/E0.85B
P/E12.8xA-
PEG0.85B+
65.4Score
$118.95$8.9B
1Y Target$133.24Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$168.21Compound horizon
10Y Target$215.72Long-dated conviction
FCF$580mTTM
C+
FCF $580m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+4.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.85
B
D/E 0.85 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.8x
A-
P/E 12.8 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.85
B+
PEG 0.85 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 65.4
Quality0.80
Growth0.50
Value0.70
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% aboveest. fair value ~$112
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $8.9b. 10% off the 52-week high of $132.17. PEG 0.85 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $133.24 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $133.24 (17-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $168.21 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $215.72 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
16
Position size
$1,903
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$89.21
25% below $118.95
$ at risk if stopped
$475.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV): score, valuation & FAQ

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a Auto Parts company that scores 65.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, ALV sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is ALV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ALV 65.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Autoliv, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ALV score 65.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ALV earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ALV overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $118.95, ALV sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 12.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ALV?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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