1Y Target$132.55Near-term target
5Y Target$164.24Compound horizon
10Y Target$209.64Long-dated conviction
FCF$580mTTM · 03/26C+FCF $580m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+6.2%TTM YoYC+Revenue +6.2% — steady but below market-beating range · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.84totalBD/E 0.84 — at market average, manageable · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E12.9xB+P/E 12.9 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG2.07proxyCPEG 2.07 — expensive relative to growth rate · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Auto Components · market cap $9.2b. 6% off the 52-week high of $130.14.
Moat
ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $132.55 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $164.24 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $209.64 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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