Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ALV analysis

Autoliv, Inc.Auto Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ALV
Autoliv, Inc. · Auto Parts
FCF$757mC+
Rev+5.9%C+
D/E0.88B
P/E14.8xA-
PEG0.85B+
65.4Score
$125.37$9.2B
1Y Target$134.71Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$170.06Compound horizon
10Y Target$218.10Long-dated conviction
FCF$757mTTM
C+
FCF $757m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+5.9%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +5.9% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.88
B
D/E 0.88 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E14.8x
A-
P/E 14.8 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.85
B+
PEG 0.85 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 65.4
Quality79.8
Growth50.0
Value70.1
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
5% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value18% belowest. fair value ~$153
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~5% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.2% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $9.2b. 5% off the 52-week high of $132.17. PEG 0.85 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $134.71 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 118% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $134.71 (17-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $170.06 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $218.10 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ALV vs the Top Picks average

PillarALVBook avgDiff
Quality0.800.84-0.04
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.700.78-0.08

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.2 over 47 daily scores
From 65.6 (Jun 22) → 65.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.2%
90-day change-1.2%
Forward EPS estimate$11.80

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ALV to earn is drifting lower (-1.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
15
Position size
$1,881
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$94.03
25% below $125.37
$ at risk if stopped
$470.14
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV): score, valuation & FAQ

Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is a Auto Parts company that scores 65.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, ALV sits about 18% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ALV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ALV 65.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Autoliv, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ALV score 65.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ALV earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ALV overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $125.37, ALV sits about 18% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 14.8x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ALV?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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