Auto Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
ALV
Autoliv, Inc. · Auto Parts
63.2Score
$109.76Oct 9 close$8.0B
1Y Target$134.31Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$169.57Compound horizon
10Y Target$217.46Long-dated conviction
FCF$757mTTM · 06/26C+
FCF $757m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+5.9%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +5.9% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.88B
D/E 0.88 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E12.9xA-
P/E 12.9 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.85B+
PEG 0.85 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 63.2
Quality80.6
Growth50.0
Value62.6
Why this score
Buying back stock
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value14% belowest. fair value ~$127
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~8% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC18.2% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $8.0b. 17% off the 52-week high of $132.17. PEG 0.85 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $134.31 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 118% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $134.31 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $169.57 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $217.46 if the moat survives secular pressure.
ALV vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
ALV
Book avg
Diff
Quality
81
83
-2
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
63
76
-13
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · ALV
Trend
-2.4 over 82 daily scores
From 65.6 (Jun 22) → 63.2 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
ALV at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-1.3%
90-day change
-2.1%
Forward EPS estimate
$11.65
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ALV to earn is drifting lower (-2.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · ALV
$
%
%
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,976
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$82.32
25% below $109.76
$ at risk if stopped
$493.92
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Autoliv, Inc. (ALV): score, valuation & FAQ
Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) is an Auto Parts company that scores 63.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, ALV sits about 14% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten.
Is ALV a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ALV 63.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Autoliv, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ALV score 63.2 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 80.6 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ALV earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ALV is measured against Auto Parts peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is ALV overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $109.76, ALV sits about 14% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 12.9x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ALV?
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.