Bull Rankings model

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) stock analysis

Auto Parts. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
PHIN
PHINIA Inc. · Auto Parts
58.7Score
$57.83Oct 9 close$2.1B
1Y Target$91.60Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$134.11Compound horizon
10Y Target$198.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$250mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $250m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+7.7%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.7% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.69
B+
D/E 0.69 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E16.6x
B
P/E 16.6 — near the Consumer Cyclical median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.08est.
B+
PEG 1.08 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark) · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 58.7
Quality63.1
Growth50.0
Value64.0
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value42% belowest. fair value ~$100
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~8% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability21% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC7.8% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $2.1b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $86.94 — deep drawdown territory. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $91.60 (implying +58% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 185% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $91.60 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $134.11 at ~18% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $198.95 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

PHIN vs the Top Picks average

PillarPHINBook avgDiff
Quality6383-20
Growth5089-39
Value6476-12

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+5.1 over 82 daily scores
From 53.6 (Jun 22) → 58.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

PHIN at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD58.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY63.1GROWTH50.0VALUE64.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$94.9$107FAIR-VALUE RANGE$57.8PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$99.8 · price $57.8 is 42% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$57.8LOW $50.8HIGH $86.9Trading at the 19th percentile of its 52-week range ($50.8–$86.9).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+13%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.8%
90-day change+1.1%
Forward EPS estimate$6.85

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PHIN to earn is drifting higher (+1.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
34
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$43.37
25% below $57.83
$ at risk if stopped
$491.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN): score, valuation & FAQ

PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) is an Auto Parts company that scores 58.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, PHIN sits about 42% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is PHIN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PHIN 58.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of PHINIA Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PHIN score 58.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 64.0 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. PHIN earns its highest marks on D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so PHIN is measured against Auto Parts peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is PHIN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $57.83, PHIN sits about 42% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 7% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 16.6x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PHIN?

Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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