Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
60.7Score
$121.30Oct 9 close$21.6B
1Y Target$110.60Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$161.93Compound horizon
10Y Target$240.21Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.3bTTM · 06/26B
FCF $2.3b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+16.3%TTM YoYB+
Revenue +16.3% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.32B+
D/E 0.32 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E11.6xB+
P/E 11.6 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.29B
PEG 1.29 — acceptable premium for growth
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 60.7
Quality74.1
Growth50.0
Value60.3
Why this score
Buying back stock
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
2% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value63% belowest. fair value ~$329
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~16% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability30% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC15.6% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $21.6b. Trading near 52-week high of $124.22 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $110.60 (implying -9% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 121% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $110.60 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $161.93 at ~6% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $240.21 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
DINO vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
DINO
Book avg
Diff
Quality
74
83
-9
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
60
76
-16
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · DINO
Trend
+1.1 over 82 daily scores
From 59.6 (Jun 22) → 60.7 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
DINO at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+36.4%
90-day change
+68.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$13.69
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DINO to earn is materially higher (+68.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · DINO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
16
Position size
$1,941
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$90.97
25% below $121.30
$ at risk if stopped
$485.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing company that scores 60.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, DINO sits about 63% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is DINO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores DINO 60.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of HF Sinclair Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does DINO score 60.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 74.1 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. DINO earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so DINO is measured against Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is DINO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $121.30, DINO sits about 63% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at an 11.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in DINO?
Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.