Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. — Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
PARR
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
FCF$255mC
Rev-6.4%D
D/E0.87C+
P/E7.8xA-
PEG——
64.5Score
$65.54$3.3B
1Y Target$77.00Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$97.21Compound horizon
10Y Target$124.67Long-dated conviction
FCF$255mTTMC
FCF $255m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-6.4%TTM YoYD
Revenue -6.4% — meaningful contraction
D/E0.87C+
D/E 0.87 — above the Energy debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E7.8xA-
P/E 7.8 — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG——
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 64.5
Quality0.70
Growth0.50
Value0.76
Why this score
Buying back stock
Revenue shrinking
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
7% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value9% belowest. fair value ~$72
Quality signals · context only
ROIC19.9% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $3.3b. 7% off the 52-week high of $70.39. Revenue -6% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $77.00 (implying +17% upside).
Moat
ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $77.00 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $97.21 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $124.67 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · PARR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
30
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$49.16
25% below $65.54
$ at risk if stopped
$491.55
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR): score, valuation & FAQ
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) is a Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing company that scores 64.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PARR sits about 9% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is PARR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores PARR 64.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does PARR score 64.5 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PARR earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), and is held back by Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is PARR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $65.54, PARR sits about 9% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 7.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in PARR?
Revenue contracting -6% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.