COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DINO vs UGP
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DINO scored 55.3, UGP scored 50.0 — DINO leads.
Compare another set
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
55.3
$92.31 · $16.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
5.3
DINO leads
UGP
Ultrapar Participacoes SA
50
$6.45 · $34.9B
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DINO
stronger →← stronger
UGP
66
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
52
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
61
51
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
39
DINO is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DINO
UGP
$1.4bC+
FCF
—
-44.8%F
Rev
+6.9%C+
0.35A-
D/E
1.39C+
8.8xA-
P/E
11.7xA-
1.36B
PEG
1.71C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DINO
UGP
2% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
—
~-2%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
—
+14%
1-yr DCF upside
—
+2%
5-yr DCF upside
—
-12%
10-yr DCF upside
—
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DINO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Revenue shrinking
UGP
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
The companies
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $16.6b. Trading near 52-week high of $94.22 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue -45% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $85.27 (implying -8% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 113% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Revenue contracting -45% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 4.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
UGPUltrapar Participacoes SA
Why now
Retail · market cap $34.9b. Down 81% from 52-week high of $33.39 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 81% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 2.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.