COMPARE · Reviewed July 29, 2026
DINO vs MPC
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. DINO scored 55.3, MPC scored 52.1 — DINO leads.
Compare another set
DINO
HF Sinclair Corporation
55.3
$92.31 · $16.6B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
3.2
DINO leads
MPC
Marathon Petroleum Corporation
52.1
$315.57 · $92.1B
fundamentals as of
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
DINO
stronger →← stronger
MPC
66
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
77
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
51
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
37
DINO and MPC split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
DINO
MPC
$1.4bC+
FCF
$5.7bB+
-44.8%F
Rev
-1.7%D+
0.35A-
D/E
1.47C
8.8xA-
P/E
20.8xC+
1.36B
PEG
1.55C+
Winner per row is the stronger grade in our model; a tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
DINO
MPC
2% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
17% below
~-2%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-6%/yr
+14%
1-yr DCF upside
+35%
+2%
5-yr DCF upside
+21%
-12%
10-yr DCF upside
+2%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
DINO
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Revenue shrinking
MPC
Why this score
- Buying back stock
- Raising its dividend
- Durable high returns
- Revenue shrinking
The companies
DINOHF Sinclair Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $16.6b. Trading near 52-week high of $94.22 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue -45% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $85.27 (implying -8% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 113% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Revenue contracting -45% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Trading within 2% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Net margin 4.5% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation
Why now
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · market cap $92.1b. 3% off the 52-week high of $326.92. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $303.89 (implying -4% upside).
Moat
ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 123% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $92.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
Generating verdict… typically 5–10 seconds
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.