Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BG analysis

Bunge Global SAFarm Products. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Agriculture & Food
BG
Bunge Global SA · Farm Products
FCF-$1.2bF
Rev+17.5%B+
D/E0.98B
P/S1.2xB+
PEG1.37B
40.5Score
$110.16$21.2B
1Y Target$141.22Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$247.00Compound horizon
10Y Target$441.43Long-dated conviction
FCF-$1.2bTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$1.2b) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+17.5%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +17.5% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.98
B
D/E 0.98 — near the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S1.2x
B+
P/S 1.2x — below the Consumer Defensive median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.37
B
PEG 1.37 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 40.5
Quality33.3
Growth69.9
Value28.6
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability-124% · Fgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Farm Products · market cap $21.2b. 18% off the 52-week high of $134.87. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $141.22 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
Higher-variance name — the moat signals on the quantitative card are modest, so the durability case rests on execution (turning current growth into durable earnings power) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than an entrenched competitive position.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$1.2b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Net margin 3.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $141.22 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $247.00 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $441.43 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

BG vs the Top Picks average

PillarBGBook avgDiff
Quality0.330.84-0.51
Growth0.700.87-0.17
Value0.290.76-0.47

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.5 over 46 daily scores
From 39.0 (Jun 22) → 40.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.4%
90-day change+4.2%
Forward EPS estimate$11.34

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BG to earn is drifting higher (+4.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,983
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$82.62
25% below $110.16
$ at risk if stopped
$495.72
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Bunge Global SA (BG): score, valuation & FAQ

Bunge Global SA (BG) is a Farm Products company that scores 40.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and P/S (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is BG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BG 40.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Bunge Global SA's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BG score 40.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BG earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and P/S (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BG overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for BG — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in BG?

Free cash flow is negative (-$1.2b) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Net margin 3.8% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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