Bull Rankings model

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) stock analysis

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
62.5Score
$43.64Oct 9 close$85.5B
1Y Target$50.02Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$73.24Compound horizon
10Y Target$108.64Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.1bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $2.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+20.4%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +20.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
P/E40.4x
C
P/E 40.4 — expensive vs Consumer Defensive peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.24
C
PEG 2.24 — expensive relative to growth rate

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 62.5
Quality90.4
Growth87.7
Value30.8
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value123% aboveest. fair value ~$20
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 30% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~13% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC22.2% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · market cap $85.5b. 13% off the 52-week high of $50.17. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $50.02 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 23% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 99% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Trailing P/E 40x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $50.02 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $73.24 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $108.64 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

MNST vs the Top Picks average

PillarMNSTBook avgDiff
Quality9083+7
Growth8889in line
Value3176-45

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+9.3 over 82 daily scores
From 53.2 (Jun 22) → 62.5 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

MNST at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD62.5/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY90.4GROWTH87.7VALUE30.8Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~30% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$17.3$23.3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$43.6PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$19.6 · price $43.6 is 123% above it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+25%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100MNST 62.5Top 22% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.1%
90-day change+0.9%
Forward EPS estimate$1.31

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MNST to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
45
Position size
$1,964
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$32.73
25% below $43.64
$ at risk if stopped
$490.95
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST): score, valuation & FAQ

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company that scores 62.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, MNST sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 30% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is MNST a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MNST 62.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Monster Beverage Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MNST score 62.5 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 90.4 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 30.8 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. MNST earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so MNST is measured against Beverages - Non-Alcoholic peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is MNST overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $43.64, MNST sits about 123% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 30% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 40.4x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MNST?

Trailing P/E 40x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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