Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MNST analysis

Monster Beverage CorporationBeverages - Non-Alcoholic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
FCF$2.1bB
Rev+20.4%A-
D/E0.01A
P/E44.3xC
PEG2.78C
63.4Score
$47.79$93.6B
1Y Target$50.13Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$73.40Compound horizon
10Y Target$108.88Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.1bTTM
B
FCF $2.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+20.4%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +20.4% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.01
A
D/E 0.01 — least levered decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
P/E44.3x
C
P/E 44.3 — expensive vs Consumer Defensive peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.78
C
PEG 2.78 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63.4
Quality90.7
Growth90.2
Value31.1
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
5% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value50% aboveest. fair value ~$32
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~18% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC22.2% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · market cap $93.6b. 5% off the 52-week high of $50.17. Revenue growing +20%, comfortably above the S&P median. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $50.13 (implying +5% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 23% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 99% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 44x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 10.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $50.13 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $73.40 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $108.88 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MNST vs the Top Picks average

PillarMNSTBook avgDiff
Quality0.910.84+0.07
Growth0.900.84+0.06
Value0.310.78-0.47

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+10.2 over 47 daily scores
From 53.2 (Jun 22) → 63.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.6%
90-day change+1.0%
Forward EPS estimate$1.31

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MNST to earn is drifting higher (+1.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
41
Position size
$1,959
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$35.84
25% below $47.79
$ at risk if stopped
$489.85
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST): score, valuation & FAQ

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company that scores 63.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, MNST sits about 50% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MNST a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MNST 63.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Monster Beverage Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MNST score 63.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MNST earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MNST overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $47.79, MNST sits about 50% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 44.3x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MNST?

Trailing P/E 44x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 10.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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