Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

COCO analysis

The Vita Coco Company, Inc.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

COCO
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
FCF$124mC
Rev+26.1%A-
D/E0.04A
P/E38.6xC
PEG2.05C
68.6Score
$67.54$3.9B
1Y Target$83.89Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$122.82Compound horizon
10Y Target$182.20Long-dated conviction
FCF$124mTTM
C
FCF $124m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+26.1%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +26.1% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.04
A
D/E 0.04 — least levered decile in Consumer Defensive (≈10th pctile)
P/E38.6x
C
P/E 38.6 — expensive vs Consumer Defensive peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG2.05proxy
C
PEG 2.05 — expensive relative to growth rate · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.6
Quality0.85
Growth0.97
Value0.39
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
21% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value31% aboveest. fair value ~$52
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability51% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC26.6% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · market cap $3.9b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $85.83 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $83.89 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 112% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 39x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $83.89 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $122.82 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $182.20 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+25.0 over 31 daily scores
From 43.6 (Jun 22) → 68.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
29
Position size
$1,959
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$50.66
25% below $67.54
$ at risk if stopped
$489.67
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO): score, valuation & FAQ

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) is a Beverages - Non-Alcoholic company that scores 68.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (A-). On valuation, COCO sits about 31% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is COCO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores COCO 68.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of The Vita Coco Company, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does COCO score 68.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). COCO earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is COCO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $67.54, COCO sits about 31% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 38.6x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in COCO?

Trailing P/E 39x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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