Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

DAR analysis

Darling Ingredients Inc.Packaged Foods. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc. · Packaged Foods
FCF$971mC+
Rev+14.9%B+
D/E0.79B
P/E17.7xB+
PEG4.31D
62.4Score
$65.74$10.4B
1Y Target$78.58Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$115.05Compound horizon
10Y Target$170.67Long-dated conviction
FCF$971mTTM
C+
FCF $971m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+14.9%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.9% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.79
B
D/E 0.79 — near the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E17.7x
B+
P/E 17.7 — below the Consumer Defensive median (≈40th pctile)
PEG4.31
D
PEG 4.31 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.4
Quality63.5
Growth86.4
Value44.3
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
6% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value11% belowest. fair value ~$74
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability16% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Packaged Foods · market cap $10.4b. 6% off the 52-week high of $69.98. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $78.58 (implying +20% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 162% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $78.58 (12-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $115.05 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $170.67 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

DAR vs the Top Picks average

PillarDARBook avgDiff
Quality0.630.84-0.20
Growth0.860.84+0.03
Value0.440.78-0.34

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+23.1 over 45 daily scores
From 39.3 (Jun 22) → 62.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+8.5%
90-day change+15.5%
Forward EPS estimate$5.74

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DAR to earn is materially higher (+15.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
30
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$49.30
25% below $65.74
$ at risk if stopped
$493.05
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Darling Ingredients Inc. (DAR): score, valuation & FAQ

Darling Ingredients Inc. (DAR) is a Packaged Foods company that scores 62.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, DAR sits about 11% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is DAR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DAR 62.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Darling Ingredients Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DAR score 62.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DAR earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and P/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is DAR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $65.74, DAR sits about 11% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.7x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DAR?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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