Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

FMX analysis

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.Beverages - Brewers. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

FMX
Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. · Beverages - Brewers
FCF
Rev+11.2%B
D/E0.84B
P/E23.4xB
PEG4.72D
24.4Score
$120.68$41.1B
1Y Target$134.54Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$196.98Compound horizon
10Y Target$292.21Long-dated conviction
FCF
FCF not applicable for this sector (bank / insurer / REIT) or data unavailable
Rev+11.2%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.2% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.84
B
D/E 0.84 — near the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E23.4x
B
P/E 23.4 — near the Consumer Defensive median (≈60th pctile)
PEG4.72
D
PEG 4.72 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 24.4
Quality61.9
Growth63.8
Value5.1
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Foreign reporter (MXN)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
15% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability38% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Beverages - Brewers · market cap $41.1b. 15% off the 52-week high of $141.47. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $134.54 (implying +11% upside).
Moat
ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Dividend payout 139% of earnings on a 5.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $134.54 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $196.98 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $292.21 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

FMX vs the Top Picks average

PillarFMXBook avgDiff
Quality0.620.84-0.22
Growth0.640.84-0.20
Value0.050.78-0.73

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.6 over 47 daily scores
From 26.0 (Jun 22) → 24.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.4%
90-day change-2.0%
Forward EPS estimate$5.20

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FMX to earn is drifting lower (-2.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
16
Position size
$1,931
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$90.51
25% below $120.68
$ at risk if stopped
$482.72
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX): score, valuation & FAQ

Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V. (FMX) is a Beverages - Brewers company that scores 24.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags PEG (D) as weaker areas.

Is FMX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FMX 24.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FMX score 24.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FMX grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is FMX overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for FMX — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in FMX?

Dividend payout 139% of earnings on a 5.0% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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