Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

VMI analysis

Valmont Industries, Inc.Conglomerates. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

VMI
Valmont Industries, Inc. · Conglomerates
FCF$322mC
Rev+3.8%C+
D/E0.51B+
P/E19.1xA-
PEG1.10B+
61.9Score
$488.59$9.4B
1Y Target$624.50Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$914.33Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,356Long-dated conviction
FCF$322mTTM
C
FCF $322m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+3.8%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.8% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.51
B+
D/E 0.51 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E19.1x
A-
P/E 19.1 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.10
B+
PEG 1.10 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61.9
Quality0.79
Growth0.42
Value0.71
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value106% aboveest. fair value ~$237
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~28% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability37% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Conglomerates · market cap $9.4b. 17% off the 52-week high of $585.71. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $624.50 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
ROE 29% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $624.50 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $914.33 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,356 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

VMI vs the Top Picks average

PillarVMIBook avgDiff
Quality0.790.83-0.04
Growth0.420.91-0.49
Value0.710.75-0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+6.0 over 34 daily scores
From 55.9 (Jun 22) → 61.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,954
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$366.44
25% below $488.59
$ at risk if stopped
$488.59
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI): score, valuation & FAQ

Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) is a Conglomerates company that scores 61.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, VMI sits about 106% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 28% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is VMI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VMI 61.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Valmont Industries, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VMI score 61.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VMI earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is VMI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $488.59, VMI sits about 106% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 28% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 19.1x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in VMI?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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