Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MMM analysis

3M CompanyConglomerates. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MMM
3M Company · Conglomerates
FCF$4.0bB
Rev+2.3%C
D/E4.38D
P/E31.9xB
PEG1.77C+
50.4Score
$179.74$92.7B
1Y Target$181.85Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$266.24Compound horizon
10Y Target$394.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.0bTTM
B
FCF $4.0b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+2.3%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.3% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E4.38
D
D/E 4.38 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/E31.9x
B
P/E 31.9 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.77
C+
PEG 1.77 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 50.4
Quality0.71
Growth0.51
Value0.36
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value49% aboveest. fair value ~$121
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability28% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC23.6% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Conglomerates · market cap $92.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $184.90 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $181.85 (implying +1% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 133% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $92.7b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 4.38 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $181.85 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $266.24 at ~8% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $394.95 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MMM vs the Top Picks average

PillarMMMBook avgDiff
Quality0.710.83-0.12
Growth0.510.91-0.40
Value0.360.75-0.39

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.8 over 34 daily scores
From 48.6 (Jun 22) → 50.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,977
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$134.80
25% below $179.74
$ at risk if stopped
$494.27
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

3M Company (MMM): score, valuation & FAQ

3M Company (MMM) is a Conglomerates company that scores 50.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags D/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, MMM sits about 49% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MMM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MMM 50.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of 3M Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MMM score 50.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MMM grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MMM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $179.74, MMM sits about 49% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 31.9x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MMM?

D/E 4.38 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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