Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

URI analysis

United Rentals, Inc.Rental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Infrastructure & Reshoring
URI
United Rentals, Inc. · Rental & Leasing Services
FCF$1.1bC+
Rev+2.1%C
D/E1.67C
P/E27.6xB
PEG1.68C+
55.7Score
$1,146.83$71.4B
1Y Target$1,262Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$1,848Compound horizon
10Y Target$2,741Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bTTM
C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+2.1%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.1% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.67
C
D/E 1.67 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E27.6x
B
P/E 27.6 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.68
C+
PEG 1.68 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 55.7
Quality0.83
Growth0.67
Value0.31
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value430% aboveest. fair value ~$216
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~58% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability-21% · Fgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC13.7% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Rental & Leasing Services · market cap $71.4b. Trading near 52-week high of $1177.67 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $1,262 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
Net margin 67% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $71.4b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 1.80 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 19.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $1,262 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $1,848 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $2,741 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

URI vs the Top Picks average

PillarURIBook avgDiff
Quality0.830.83in line
Growth0.670.91-0.23
Value0.310.75-0.44

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.2 over 34 daily scores
From 55.9 (Jun 22) → 55.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
1
Position size
$1,147
2.3% of portfolio
Stop price
$860.12
25% below $1,147
$ at risk if stopped
$286.71
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

United Rentals, Inc. (URI): score, valuation & FAQ

United Rentals, Inc. (URI) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 55.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, URI sits about 430% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is URI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores URI 55.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of United Rentals, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does URI score 55.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). URI grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is URI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $1146.83, URI sits about 430% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 27.6x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in URI?

Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction. Beta 1.80 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. P/S 19.1x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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