Bull Rankings model

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME) stock analysis

Rental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
LIME
Neutron Holdings, Inc. · Rental & Leasing Services
65.1Score
$28.58Oct 9 close$1.8B
1Y Target$39.43Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$57.73Compound horizon
10Y Target$85.63Long-dated conviction
FCF$40mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $40m — barely positive; fragile cash position · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+29.1%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +29.1% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.20
A-
D/E 0.20 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E5.6x
A
P/E 5.6 — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — earnings aren't expected to grow

* PEG n/a — earnings aren't expected to grow

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 65.1
Quality68.9
Growth54.3
Value73.9
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
36% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value98% aboveest. fair value ~$14
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 33% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~25% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
Lime’s rapid 29.1% FY YoY revenue growth is powered by its Gen 4.1 scooters and e‑bikes, which dominate dock‑free micromobility in U.S. cities, and the business is converting that top‑line surge into a healthy 21.3% profit margin while trading at a modest P/E of 12.7. The Bull Rankings model flags Quality at 90, confirming the operational excellence of Lime’s fleet management and pricing engine, and that is the engine that will keep compounding revenue as urban commuters double‑down on electric last‑mile solutions. The thesis rests on the persistence of this margin‑rich growth in a market where each new scooter generation locks in city contracts and user stickiness.
Moat
Lime’s moat lies in its integrated dock‑free fleet and proprietary mobile app that couples real‑time scooter availability with dynamic pricing, creating a network effect where every additional Gen 4.1 scooter deepens data‑driven demand forecasting and reduces per‑ride cost. Cities grant exclusive operating permits to the most reliable providers, and Lime’s proven ability to roll out newer generations faster than rivals locks in those permits, making switching costly for both municipalities and riders.
Risk
The bear case centers on the modest debt‑to‑equity of 0.2 masking a potential capital‑intensive rollout cycle; if scooter utilization stalls, the low‑margin segment could erode the current 21.3% profit margin and push the P/E toward the sector average, undermining the Quality premium. A slowdown in urban travel demand or stricter municipal regulations would quickly compress margins and validate a lower valuation. Confirmation would be a quarterly earnings miss on margin or a spike in D/E beyond 0.5.
Horizon
1-3 yr $39.43 (7-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $57.73 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $85.63 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

LIME vs the Top Picks average

PillarLIMEBook avgDiff
Quality6983-14
Growth5489-35
Value7476-2

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+22.0 over 66 daily scores
From 43.1 (Jul 13) → 65.1 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

LIME at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD65.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY68.9GROWTH54.3VALUE73.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~33% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$11.1$21.3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$28.6PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$14.4 · price $28.6 is 98% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100LIME 65.1Top 17% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$28.6LOW $23.9HIGH $44.4Trading at the 23rd percentile of its 52-week range ($23.9–$44.4).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-8.6%
Forward EPS estimate$1.43

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect LIME to earn is materially lower (-8.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
69
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.43
25% below $28.58
$ at risk if stopped
$493.00
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 56.2 / 100, built from three pillars scored 0–100: Quality 48, Growth 54, Value 69 (valuation is judged against sector peers).

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY47.6GROWTH54.3VALUE68.7

The thesis

LIME is trading at a price that our model deems cheap relative to peers, yet its growth pillar sits at 54, a level that suggests the market is still pricing in a healthy expansion cycle. The quality pillar lags at 48, reflecting the company’s negative free cash flow and modest profit margin of 21.3 %. The net effect is a scorecard that rewards the upside potential of a low‑priced, high‑growth play while warning that the business still needs to prove its cash‑generation discipline.

In the latest quarter ended 2026‑06‑30, revenue surged 29.1 % YoY. That jump, coupled with a profit margin of 21.3 %, shows the company can convert rides into cash more efficiently than many of its peers. The market cap of $1.9 b against a current price of $29.01 places the stock well below its 52‑week high of $44.38 and near the low of $23.87, underscoring the value angle. If the company can sustain its revenue growth while tightening its cash‑flow profile, the upside is clear.

What the business actually is

REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$986m · 100%Net income$210.2m · 21.3%Free cash flow-$103.7m · -10.5%Burning cash — earnings aren't yet funding the business.

LIME operates a dock‑free electric mobility platform in the United States. Its fleet includes Gen 4.1 scooters, e‑scooters, e‑bikes, Gen 3 e‑scooters, Lime jump e‑bikes, and Gen 4 seated e‑scooters. Customers—primarily urban commuters and tourists—access the vehicles through a mobile app that handles payments, navigation, and real‑time availability. The company’s revenue engine is the per‑ride fee collected from these users, with growth driven by expanding city footprints and increasing ride frequency.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

The durability case hinges on LIME’s high profit margin of 21.3 % and its ability to scale the same vehicle inventory across multiple cities. Because the platform is software‑centric, adding a new market requires only a modest capital outlay for local operations and regulatory compliance, not a new fleet of vehicles. This low marginal cost structure creates a moat that competitors—especially those tied to docked bike models—find hard to replicate quickly.

The strongest signal from our model is the Value pillar at 69, indicating that the current price is cheaper than sector peers and the company’s own historical valuation. If the firm can convert its revenue growth into positive free cash flow, the valuation gap will widen, reinforcing the compounding narrative.

The valuation question

ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$39.4$29TODAY$36 LOWHIGH $457 analysts average $39.4, 36% above today's $29. A target isan opinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

The price already assumes a price‑to‑sales of 1.9 and a profit margin of 21.3 %. Our model’s reverse‑DCF returns no read because free cash flow is negative at -$104 m. Thus, the market is not pricing in any specific growth trajectory from cash‑flow projections; instead, it is betting on the revenue engine and margin sustainability.

The lack of a reverse‑DCF read means investors are betting on the company’s ability to turn that revenue into cash. If the company can achieve a positive free‑cash‑flow run‑rate, the valuation will shift from a sales‑based multiple to a cash‑flow‑based multiple, potentially lifting the price further.

The bear case

The most compelling skeptic points to the negative free cash flow of -$104 m. A cash‑burn of that magnitude, coupled with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 0.2, signals that the company is still investing heavily to sustain growth. If the burn rate accelerates or revenue growth stalls, the firm could face liquidity pressure, forcing it to raise capital or cut services. A concrete confirmation would be a further decline in the profit margin below 20 %, eroding the thin cushion that currently supports the business.

What would change our mind

BULL SCORE OVER TIME56.2Jul 13Sep 21Ranged 43–77 over 51 trading days · now 56.2 (up +13.1).
  1. Positive free‑cash‑flow run‑rate: If the company reports a positive FCF for two consecutive quarters, the reverse‑DCF would become viable, and the valuation would pivot from sales to cash‑flow multiples.
  2. Profit margin falling below 20 %: A drop would undermine the high‑margin moat and trigger a re‑pricing of the stock.
  3. Revenue growth slipping below 20 % YoY: A slowdown would weaken the growth pillar and erode the justification for the current price‑to‑sales multiple.

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME): score, valuation & FAQ

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 65.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, LIME sits about 98% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 33% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is LIME a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores LIME 65.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Neutron Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does LIME score 65.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 73.9 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 54.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. LIME earns its highest marks on P/E (A), Rev (A-) and D/E (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so LIME is measured against Rental & Leasing Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is LIME overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $28.58, LIME sits about 98% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 33% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 5.6x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in LIME?

The bear case centers on the modest debt‑to‑equity of 0.2 masking a potential capital‑intensive rollout cycle; if scooter utilization stalls, the low‑margin segment could erode the current 21.3% profit margin and push the P/E toward the sector average, undermining the Quality premium. A slowdown in urban travel demand or stricter municipal regulations would quickly compress margins and validate a lower valuation. Confirmation would be a quarterly earnings miss on margin or a spike in D/E beyond 0.5.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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