Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GATX analysis

GATX CorporationRental & Leasing Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GATX
GATX Corporation · Rental & Leasing Services
FCF-$858mF
Rev+22.8%A-
D/E3.48D
P/S3.1xB
PEG0.64A-
62.9Score
$181.03$6.4B
1Y Target$219.75Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$384.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$686.90Long-dated conviction
FCF-$858mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$858m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+22.8%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +22.8% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E3.48
D
D/E 3.48 — most levered decile in Industrials (≈95th pctile)
P/S3.1x
B
P/S 3.1x — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.64
A-
PEG 0.64 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.9
Quality0.51
Growth0.85
Value0.57
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
12% off the 12-month high
Why now
Rental & Leasing Services · market cap $6.4b. 12% off the 52-week high of $205.56. Revenue growing +23%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.64 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $219.75 (implying +21% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
D/E 3.48 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$858m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $219.75 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $384.34 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $686.90 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GATX vs the Top Picks average

PillarGATXBook avgDiff
Quality0.510.83-0.31
Growth0.850.91-0.06
Value0.570.75-0.17

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+3.6 over 34 daily scores
From 59.3 (Jun 22) → 62.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$135.78
25% below $181.03
$ at risk if stopped
$497.85
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

GATX Corporation (GATX): score, valuation & FAQ

GATX Corporation (GATX) is a Rental & Leasing Services company that scores 62.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and PEG (A-), while D/E (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is GATX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GATX 62.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of GATX Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GATX score 62.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GATX earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and PEG (A-), and is held back by D/E (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GATX overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for GATX — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in GATX?

D/E 3.48 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Free cash flow is negative (-$858m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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