Bull Rankings model

SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) stock analysis

Solar. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Clean Energy
★
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. · Solar
28.7Score
$32.21Oct 9 close$2.0B
1Y Target$38.16Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$66.74Compound horizon
10Y Target$119.27Long-dated conviction
FCF$90mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $90m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+41.6%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +41.6% — hypergrowth, top decile · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.99
C
D/E 0.99 — more levered than most Technology peers (≈90th pctile)
P/S*1.5x
A-
P/S 1.5x — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG4.61
D
PEG 4.61 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 28.7
Quality23.6
Growth50.0
Value19.9
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
60% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value29% aboveest. fair value ~$25
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 22% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~25% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability13% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC-28.2% · Freturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
SolarEdge’s explosive 41.6% YoY revenue growth is being powered by its SolarEdge ONE optimization platform and expanding Storage Solutions, which lock in residential and commercial installers on a proprietary hardware‑software stack. The business is already generating $90 m of free cash flow on a modest $2.1 b market cap, giving the upside room to compound as inverter shipments accelerate. The thesis rests on the growth pillar of our model – the only area where SEDG scores high – and assumes that the current revenue trajectory can be sustained for the next decade.
Moat
SEDG’s moat lies in its end‑to‑end optimizer‑inverter‑cloud ecosystem, where the power optimizers and DC‑AC inverters are tightly coupled to the mySolarEdge monitoring app and installer‑focused SolarEdge Go platform. This integration creates high switching costs for installers and owners, locking them into a single‑vendor solution that competitors cannot replicate quickly without rebuilding both hardware and SaaS layers.
Risk
The company is bleeding cash at a -20.3% profit margin and a disastrous -65.6% ROE, while its debt‑to‑equity of 0.99 and beta of 1.44 signal financial and market volatility. Our model flags diluting shareholders and cyclical growth, meaning any slowdown in solar capex or a rise in financing costs could crush margins and trigger share‑count expansion, confirming the bear case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $38.16 (19-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $66.74 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $119.27 — return distribution heavily skewed.

SEDG vs the Top Picks average

PillarSEDGBook avgDiff
Quality2483-59
Growth5089-39
Value2076-56

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+2.0 over 82 daily scores
From 26.7 (Jun 22) → 28.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

SEDG at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD28.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY23.6GROWTH50.0VALUE19.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~22% growth a year from here.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$32.2LOW $28.2HIGH $81.3Trading near its 52-week low ($28.2–$81.3).
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$19.4$35.9FAIR-VALUE RANGE$32.2PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$25 · price $32.2 is 29% above it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100SEDG 28.7Ranks above 19% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-16.8%
90-day change-22.2%
Forward EPS estimate$0.81

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SEDG to earn is materially lower (-22.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
62
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$24.16
25% below $32.21
$ at risk if stopped
$499.25
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 28.7 / 100, built from three pillars scored 0–100: Quality 24, Growth 50, Value 20 (valuation is judged against sector peers). At today's price, our reverse-DCF read says the market is implicitly betting on free-cash-flow growth of about 24% a year next year, fading to 3% a year by year ten — a gauge of how much optimism is already in the stock.

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD28.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY23.6GROWTH50.0VALUE20.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~24% growth a year from here.

The thesis

ANALYST RECOMMENDATIONS3193BuyHoldSellStrong sellHOLD26 analysts: more sell than buy ratings. Sell-side opinion isnot an input to the Bull Rankings score.

SolarEdge’s 28.7/100 quality‑growth score is a mixed bag, but the Growth pillar at 50 dominates the narrative. Revenue surged 41.6% YoY in the latest quarter, and free cash flow of $90 m shows the company is finally monetizing its scale. The price of $35.61 sits below the analyst consensus of $39.55 and the 52‑week high of $81.25, suggesting a modest upside if the growth engine keeps firing. The Value pillar at 20 flags a pricey relative to peers, but the upside from the revenue engine outweighs that concern. In short, the stock is worth a look because it is delivering high‑rate growth that the market hasn’t fully priced in.

What the business actually is

PROFITABILITY & RETURNSNET MARGIN-20.3%ROIC-28.2%ROE-65.6%GROSS PROFIT / ASSETS13.5%Not yet profitable on invested capital — a growth or turnaround bet.

SolarEdge sells power optimizers and DC‑to‑AC inverters that sit on every residential and commercial rooftop. Its Storage Solutions—the 400 V home battery and the CSS‑OD system—extend the utility of solar. The company also offers EV chargers for homes and businesses, and the SolarEdge ONE energy‑optimization platform that bundles hardware with a cloud‑based monitoring system. The mySolarEdge app lets owners track production, while the SolarEdge Go app equips installers with installation, management, and service tools. These product lines together form a vertically integrated ecosystem that captures revenue at every step of the solar value chain.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$35.6$28.2 LOWHIGH $81.3Trading near its 52-week low ($28.2–$81.3).

The moat lies in the software‑hardware integration. Power optimizers and inverters are sold as a bundle; the monitoring platform locks customers into a recurring revenue stream. The debt‑to‑equity of 0.99 keeps leverage manageable. The model signal “Cyclical growth” warns of seasonality, but the company’s EV charger and storage segments are less cyclical, providing a buffer. Competitors would need to replicate both the hardware and the cloud platform, a high‑barrier combo that is not easily copied.

The valuation question

That starting rate is lower than the trailing revenue growth of 41.6%. In plain terms, the market is already pricing in a slowdown: it expects the company’s growth to decelerate faster than the revenue trend suggests. The P/S of 1.6 and the PEG of 4.61 reinforce that the stock is on the expensive side of its peers. If the company can sustain the 41.6% revenue pace, the current price already underestimates the upside; if it stalls, the price is over‑optimistic.

The bear case

These figures signal that the business is still burning cash and has not yet turned a profit. The model signal “Diluting shareholders” further suggests that the company may issue more equity to fund growth, which would dilute existing owners. If revenue growth slows below 41.6% or if free‑cash‑flow turns negative again, the valuation would crumble.

What would change our mind

  1. Profit margin turns positive.
  2. Value score falls below 20.
  3. Cyclical growth spike that proves the company can ride seasonal swings and keep compounding.

SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG): score, valuation & FAQ

SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. (SEDG) is a Solar company that scores 28.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/S (A-), while FCF (C-) and PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, SEDG sits about 29% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 22% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is SEDG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SEDG 28.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SEDG score 28.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 50.0 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 19.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. SEDG earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/S (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so SEDG is measured against Solar peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is SEDG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $32.21, SEDG sits about 29% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 22% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SEDG?

The company is bleeding cash at a -20.3% profit margin and a disastrous -65.6% ROE, while its debt‑to‑equity of 0.99 and beta of 1.44 signal financial and market volatility. Our model flags diluting shareholders and cyclical growth, meaning any slowdown in solar capex or a rise in financing costs could crush margins and trigger share‑count expansion, confirming the bear case.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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