Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PG analysis

Procter & Gamble Company (The)Household & Personal Products. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PG
Procter & Gamble Company (The) · Household & Personal Products
FCF$15.1bA-
Rev+3.3%C+
D/E0.64B+
P/E21.8xB
PEG4.14D
53.0Score
$144.68$336.3B
1Y Target$160.57Analyst consensus · 23 analysts
5Y Target$235.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$348.73Long-dated conviction
FCF$15.1bTTM
A-
FCF $15.1b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector
Rev+3.3%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.3% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.64
B+
D/E 0.64 — below the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E21.8x
B
P/E 21.8 — near the Consumer Defensive median (≈60th pctile)
PEG4.14
D
PEG 4.14 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 53
Quality86.1
Growth54.4
Value31.8
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value42% aboveest. fair value ~$102
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~13% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC17.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Household & Personal Products · market cap $336.3b. 13% off the 52-week high of $167.25. 23 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $160.57 (implying +11% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $336.3b market cap places it among the largest companies in the sector — distribution, R&D, and customer-acquisition costs amortize across a base peers can't replicate.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $160.57 (23-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $235.08 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $348.73 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PG vs the Top Picks average

PillarPGBook avgDiff
Quality0.860.84+0.02
Growth0.540.84-0.29
Value0.320.78-0.47

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+7.5 over 45 daily scores
From 45.5 (Jun 22) → 53.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+4.9%
90-day change+4.3%
Forward EPS estimate$7.40

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PG to earn is drifting higher (+4.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
13
Position size
$1,881
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$108.51
25% below $144.68
$ at risk if stopped
$470.21
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG): score, valuation & FAQ

Procter & Gamble Company (The) (PG) is a Household & Personal Products company that scores 53 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-) and D/E (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PG sits about 42% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PG 53 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by FCF (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Procter & Gamble Company (The)'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PG score 53 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PG earns its highest marks on FCF (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $144.68, PG sits about 42% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 13% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 21.8x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PG?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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