Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

IPAR analysis

Interparfums, Inc.Household & Personal Products. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

IPAR
Interparfums, Inc. · Household & Personal Products
FCF$246mC
Rev+2.9%C
D/E0.15A-
P/E22.1xB
PEG3.20D
54.9Score
$115.60$3.7B
1Y Target$126.67Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$185.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$275.11Long-dated conviction
FCF$246mTTM
C
FCF $246m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+2.9%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +2.9% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E0.15
A-
D/E 0.15 — less debt than most Consumer Defensive peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E22.1x
B
P/E 22.1 — near the Consumer Defensive median (≈60th pctile)
PEG3.20
D
PEG 3.20 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 54.9
Quality89.2
Growth40.8
Value45.5
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% aboveest. fair value ~$109
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability64% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC20.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Household & Personal Products · market cap $3.7b. 11% off the 52-week high of $129.29. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $126.67 (implying +10% upside).
Moat
Net margin 14% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 119% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $126.67 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $185.45 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $275.11 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

IPAR vs the Top Picks average

PillarIPARBook avgDiff
Quality0.890.84+0.05
Growth0.410.84-0.43
Value0.460.78-0.33

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-10.3 over 46 daily scores
From 65.2 (Jun 22) → 54.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-6.7%
90-day change-6.6%
Forward EPS estimate$5.20

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect IPAR to earn is materially lower (-6.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,965
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$86.70
25% below $115.60
$ at risk if stopped
$491.30
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR): score, valuation & FAQ

Interparfums, Inc. (IPAR) is a Household & Personal Products company that scores 54.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, IPAR sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is IPAR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores IPAR 54.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Interparfums, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does IPAR score 54.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). IPAR earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is IPAR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $115.60, IPAR sits about 6% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 22.1x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in IPAR?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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