Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

DRVN analysis

Driven Brands Holdings Inc.Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
FCF$134mC
Rev+7.6%B
D/E2.66C
P/E13.3xA-
PEG0.93B+
58.7Score
$13.17$2.2B
1Y Target$16.61Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$20.97Compound horizon
10Y Target$26.89Long-dated conviction
FCF$134mTTM
C
FCF $134m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+7.6%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.6% — at or above S&P median
D/E2.66
C
D/E 2.66 — more levered than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E13.3x
A-
P/E 13.3 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.93
B+
PEG 0.93 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 58.7
Quality41.0
Growth74.3
Value66.3
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value25% belowest. fair value ~$18
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~5% a year for the next decade — vs the ~20% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC8.5% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $2.2b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $19.74 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.93 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $16.61 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
D/E 2.66 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -15.1%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $16.61 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $20.97 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $26.89 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

DRVN vs the Top Picks average

PillarDRVNBook avgDiff
Quality0.410.84-0.43
Growth0.740.84-0.10
Value0.660.78-0.12

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-5.1 over 47 daily scores
From 63.8 (Jun 22) → 58.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-2.8%
90-day change-2.1%
Forward EPS estimate$1.45

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DRVN to earn is drifting lower (-2.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
151
Position size
$1,989
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.88
25% below $13.17
$ at risk if stopped
$497.17
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN): score, valuation & FAQ

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 58.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, DRVN sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is DRVN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DRVN 58.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Driven Brands Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DRVN score 58.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DRVN earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is DRVN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $13.17, DRVN sits about 25% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 13.3x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DRVN?

D/E 2.66 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -15.1%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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