Bull Rankings model

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) stock analysis

Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
DRVN
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
58.2Score
$11.72Oct 9 close$1.9B
1Y Target$16.09Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$20.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$26.05Long-dated conviction
FCF$134mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $134m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+6.3%FY YoY
C+
Revenue +6.3% — steady but below market-beating range · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E2.66
C
D/E 2.66 — more levered than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E11.8x
A-
P/E 11.8 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.93
B+
PEG 0.93 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 58.2
Quality55.2
Growth61.0
Value58.7
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
32% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value16% belowest. fair value ~$14
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $1.9b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $17.30 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.93 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $16.09 (implying +37% upside).
Moat
ROE 21% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
D/E 2.66 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $16.09 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $20.32 at ~12% CAGR — earnings growth and a modest re-rating. 10 yr $26.05 if the moat survives secular pressure.

DRVN vs the Top Picks average

PillarDRVNBook avgDiff
Quality5583-28
Growth6189-28
Value5976-17

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-5.6 over 82 daily scores
From 63.8 (Jun 22) → 58.2 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

DRVN at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD58.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY55.2GROWTH61.0VALUE58.7Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~2% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$13$15.3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$11.7PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$13.9 · price $11.7 is 16% below it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-18%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$11.7LOW $9.8HIGH $17.3Trading at the 26th percentile of its 52-week range ($9.8–$17.3).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.6%
90-day change-3.3%
Forward EPS estimate$1.44

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DRVN to earn is drifting lower (-3.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
170
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$8.79
25% below $11.72
$ at risk if stopped
$498.10
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN): score, valuation & FAQ

Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) is an Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 58.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, DRVN sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten.

Is DRVN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DRVN 58.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Driven Brands Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DRVN score 58.2 on Bull Rankings?

It grades evenly across the three pillars — quality 55.2, growth 61.0, value 58.7 out of 100 — so no single pillar is carrying the score. DRVN earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so DRVN is measured against Auto & Truck Dealerships peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is DRVN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $11.72, DRVN sits about 16% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 2% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at an 11.8x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DRVN?

D/E 2.66 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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