CVNA vs the Top Picks average
| Pillar | CVNA | Book avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 0.68 | 0.84 | -0.16 |
| Growth | 0.94 | 0.84 | +0.10 |
| Value | 0.49 | 0.78 | -0.29 |
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Analyst estimate revisions
| 30-day change | -2.1% |
|---|---|
| 90-day change | -8.7% |
| Forward EPS estimate | $2.26 |
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CVNA to earn is materially lower (-8.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A fiscal-year roll fell inside this window: the forward horizon moved on to the next financial year, which shifts the earnings figure without any analyst changing their view. That step is excluded, so the number above covers the rest of the window rather than all of it.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Latest CVNA developments
Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.
- Carvana (CVNA) Stock Still Looks Fully Valued After A Very Large Runsimplywall.st ·
- Carvana Stock Jumps on Loan Collateral NewsBriefs Finance ·
- Carvana shares are under pressure this week as Mark Walter probe fuels investor jittersCNBC ·
- Carvana gains on report Mark Walter's shares pledged to CitiSeeking Alpha ·
- Carvana stock drops 10% amid Mark Walter federal investigationYahoo Finance ·
- Carvana Shares Rebound as Mark Walter Selloff Fears EasePYMNTS.com ·
Carvana Co. (CVNA): score, valuation & FAQ
Carvana Co. (CVNA) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 67.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (B+). On valuation, CVNA sits about 377% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is CVNA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CVNA 67.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Carvana Co.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CVNA score 67.9 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CVNA earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CVNA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $69.91, CVNA sits about 377% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 58% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 37.0x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CVNA?
The high beta of 3.49 and debt‑to‑equity of 1.11 expose Carvana to market volatility and leverage risk; a 36.8 P/E multiple indicates investors are already pricing in significant upside, so any slowdown in the 54% revenue growth or margin compression would trigger a sharp pullback. A sharp rise in used‑car supply or a shift to in‑person buying could erode the platform’s convenience advantage, and the 57% free‑cash‑flow growth implied by the reverse DCF is far above the 54% revenue growth, meaning the stock is already assuming near‑term optimism that may not materialize.
New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.