Carvana Co. — Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
CVNA
Carvana Co. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
FCF$740mC+
Rev+48.6%A
D/E1.21B
P/E38.8xC
PEG0.80A-
74.4Score
$67.12$73.6B
1Y Target$92.14Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$134.91Compound horizon
10Y Target$200.12Long-dated conviction
FCF$740mTTMC+
FCF $740m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+48.6%TTM YoYA
Revenue +48.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E1.21B
D/E 1.21 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E38.8xC
P/E 38.8 — expensive vs Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.80proxyA-
PEG 0.80 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 74.4
Quality0.67
Growth0.98
Value0.63
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
31% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value324% aboveest. fair value ~$16
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability33% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.6% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $73.6b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $97.38 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +49% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.80 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $92.14 (implying +37% upside).
Moat
ROE 39% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. $73.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 3.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 39x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $92.14 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $134.91 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $200.12 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · CVNA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
29
Position size
$1,946
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$50.34
25% below $67.12
$ at risk if stopped
$486.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Carvana Co. (CVNA): score, valuation & FAQ
Carvana Co. (CVNA) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 74.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and PEG (A-). On valuation, CVNA sits about 324% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is CVNA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CVNA 74.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Carvana Co.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CVNA score 74.4 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CVNA earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CVNA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $67.12, CVNA sits about 324% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 38.8x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CVNA?
Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 3.46 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 39x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.