Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

OPLN analysis

OPENLANE, Inc.Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

OPLN
OPENLANE, Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
FCF$694mC+
Rev+11.8%B
D/E1.57C+
P/S2.0xC+
PEG1.22B
63.7Score
$33.40$4.1B
1Y Target$46.22Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$80.84Compound horizon
10Y Target$144.48Long-dated conviction
FCF$694mTTM
C+
FCF $694m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+11.8%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.8% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.57
C+
D/E 1.57 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/S2.0x
C+
P/S 2.0x — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.22
B
PEG 1.22 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63.7
Quality59.8
Growth73.8
Value58.7
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
22% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value66% belowest. fair value ~$98
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-15% a year for the next decade — vs the ~20% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.0% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $4.1b. Down 22% from 52-week high of $42.90 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $46.22 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Higher-variance name — the thesis leans on growth and valuation rather than a long, settled track record, so it depends on execution continuing. Position size accordingly; a deep drawdown shouldn't change the thesis.
Horizon
1-3 yr $46.22 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $80.84 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $144.48 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

OPLN vs the Top Picks average

PillarOPLNBook avgDiff
Quality0.600.84-0.24
Growth0.740.84-0.10
Value0.590.78-0.20

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+0.1 over 47 daily scores
From 63.6 (Jun 22) → 63.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+3.4%
90-day change+4.9%
Forward EPS estimate$1.73

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OPLN to earn is drifting higher (+4.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
59
Position size
$1,971
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$25.05
25% below $33.40
$ at risk if stopped
$492.65
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN): score, valuation & FAQ

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 63.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, OPLN sits about 66% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is OPLN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OPLN 63.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of OPENLANE, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OPLN score 63.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OPLN grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $33.40, OPLN sits about 66% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OPLN?

Higher-variance name — the thesis leans on growth and valuation rather than a long, settled track record, so it depends on execution continuing. Position size accordingly; a deep drawdown shouldn't change the thesis.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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