Bull Rankings model

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) stock analysis

Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
OPLN
OPENLANE, Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
58.9Score
$36.71Oct 9 close$4.5B
1Y Target$46.22Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$80.84Compound horizon
10Y Target$144.48Long-dated conviction
FCF$336mTTM · 12/25
C
FCF $336m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 12/25.
Rev+11.8%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.8% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.57
C+
D/E 1.57 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/S*2.2x
C+
P/S 2.2x — above the Consumer Cyclical median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.22
B
PEG 1.22 — acceptable premium for growth

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 58.9
Quality56.2
Growth80.8
Value44.9
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
14% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value8% belowest. fair value ~$40
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 6% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~12% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC9.0% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $4.5b. 14% off the 52-week high of $42.90. Revenue growing +12%, comfortably above the S&P median. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $46.22 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 167% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Higher-variance name — the thesis leans on growth and valuation rather than a long, settled track record, so it depends on execution continuing. Position size accordingly; a deep drawdown shouldn't change the thesis.
Horizon
1-3 yr $46.22 (9-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $80.84 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $144.48 — return distribution heavily skewed.

OPLN vs the Top Picks average

PillarOPLNBook avgDiff
Quality5683-27
Growth8189-8
Value4576-31

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-4.7 over 82 daily scores
From 63.6 (Jun 22) → 58.9 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

OPLN at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD58.9/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY56.2GROWTH80.8VALUE44.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~6% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$36.1$45.9FAIR-VALUE RANGE$36.7PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$39.9 · price $36.7 is 8% below it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+36%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$36.7LOW $24.3HIGH $42.9Trading at the 67th percentile of its 52-week range ($24.3–$42.9).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.4%
90-day change+4.3%
Forward EPS estimate$1.74

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect OPLN to earn is drifting higher (+4.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
54
Position size
$1,982
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$27.53
25% below $36.71
$ at risk if stopped
$495.59
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN): score, valuation & FAQ

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) is an Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 58.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, OPLN sits about 8% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 6% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is OPLN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores OPLN 58.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of OPENLANE, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does OPLN score 58.9 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 80.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 44.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. OPLN grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals. Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so OPLN is measured against Auto & Truck Dealerships peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $36.71, OPLN sits about 8% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 6% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in OPLN?

Higher-variance name — the thesis leans on growth and valuation rather than a long, settled track record, so it depends on execution continuing. Position size accordingly; a deep drawdown shouldn't change the thesis.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

More Auto Dealerships stocks by score

All Consumer Cyclical rankings →

Analyze another ticker →