Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ABG analysis

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

ABG
Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
FCF$631mC+
Rev+4.7%C+
D/E1.38C+
P/E7.5xA
PEG0.60A-
72.2Score
$213.32$4.0B
1Y Target$232.30Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$293.27Compound horizon
10Y Target$376.12Long-dated conviction
FCF$631mTTM
C+
FCF $631m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+4.7%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.7% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E1.38
C+
D/E 1.38 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E7.5x
A
P/E 7.5 — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.60
A-
PEG 0.60 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72.2
Quality0.70
Growth0.62
Value0.86
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
20% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value73% belowest. fair value ~$802
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC14.8% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $4.0b. 20% off the 52-week high of $265.41. PEG 0.60 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $232.30 (implying +9% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 115% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Net margin 3.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $232.30 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $293.27 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $376.12 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.4 over 14 daily scores
From 71.8 (Jun 22) → 72.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,920
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$159.99
25% below $213.32
$ at risk if stopped
$479.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG): score, valuation & FAQ

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 72.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A) and PEG (A-). On valuation, ABG sits about 73% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is ABG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ABG 72.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ABG score 72.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ABG earns its highest marks on P/E (A) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ABG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $213.32, ABG sits about 73% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 7.5x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ABG?

Net margin 3.0% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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