FCF $925m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 07/26.
Rev-0.8%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -0.8% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.62B+
D/E 0.62 — below the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E17.0xB+
P/E 17.0 — below the Consumer Defensive median (≈40th pctile)
PEG2.02C
PEG 2.02 — expensive relative to growth rate
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 55.9
Quality81.1
Growth30.9
Value69.6
Why this score
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% belowest. fair value ~$28
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 1% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~1% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability30% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC12.2% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries · market cap $12.1b. 17% off the 52-week high of $31.92. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $28.26 (implying +7% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 128% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $28.26 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $41.37 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $61.38 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
BF-B vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
BF-B
Book avg
Diff
Quality
81
83
-2
Growth
31
89
-58
Value
70
76
-6
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · BF-B
Trend
+2.0 over 81 daily scores
From 53.9 (Jun 22) → 55.9 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
BF-B at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.1%
90-day change
+0.1%
Forward EPS estimate
$1.71
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BF-B to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · BF-B
$
%
%
Shares to buy
75
Position size
$1,979
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$19.79
25% below $26.39
$ at risk if stopped
$494.81
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Brown-Forman Corporation (BF-B) is a Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries company that scores 55.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+) and P/E (B+), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, BF-B sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 1% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten.
Is BF-B a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores BF-B 55.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Brown-Forman Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does BF-B score 55.9 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 81.1 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 30.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. BF-B earns its highest marks on D/E (B+) and P/E (B+), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so BF-B is measured against Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is BF-B overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $26.39, BF-B sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 1% next year, rising to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.0x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in BF-B?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.