Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CPRI analysis

Capri Holdings LimitedLuxury Goods. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Luxury & Premium Brands
CPRI
Capri Holdings Limited · Luxury Goods
FCF$83mC-
Rev-3.5%D+
D/E9.73D
P/E17.5xB+
PEG0.17A
32.1Score
$13.68$1.6B
1Y Target$22.53Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$28.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$36.48Long-dated conviction
FCF$83mTTM
C-
FCF $83m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev-3.5%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -3.5% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E9.73
D
D/E 9.73 — most levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈95th pctile)
P/E17.5x
B+
P/E 17.5 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.17
A
PEG 0.17 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 32.1
Quality44.0
Growth13.8
Value54.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
52% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value21% aboveest. fair value ~$11
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~19% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability48% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC3.9% · Creturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Luxury Goods · market cap $1.6b. Down 52% from 52-week high of $28.27 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.17 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $22.53 (implying +65% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
D/E 9.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $22.53 (16-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $28.45 at ~16% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $36.48 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CPRI vs the Top Picks average

PillarCPRIBook avgDiff
Quality0.440.84-0.40
Growth0.140.87-0.73
Value0.550.76-0.21

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.3 over 48 daily scores
From 30.8 (Jun 22) → 32.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.8%
90-day change-1.3%
Forward EPS estimate$2.53

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CPRI to earn is drifting lower (-1.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
146
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$10.26
25% below $13.68
$ at risk if stopped
$499.32
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI): score, valuation & FAQ

Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) is a Luxury Goods company that scores 32.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/E (B+), while Rev (D+) and D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CPRI sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CPRI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CPRI 32.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Capri Holdings Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CPRI score 32.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CPRI earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/E (B+), and is held back by Rev (D+) and D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CPRI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $13.68, CPRI sits about 21% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.5x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CPRI?

D/E 9.73 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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