Aya Gold & Silver Inc. — Silver. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc. · Silver
FCF$56mC-
Rev+416.7%A
D/E0.21B+
P/E32.0xC
PEG0.08A
70.2Score
$19.87$2.8B
1Y Target$22.85Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$33.46Compound horizon
10Y Target$49.63Long-dated conviction
FCF$56mTTM · 03/26C-
FCF $56m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+416.7%FY YoYA
Revenue +416.7% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.21B+
D/E 0.21 — below the Basic Materials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E32.0xC
P/E 32.0 — expensive vs Basic Materials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.08proxyA
PEG 0.08 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 70.2
Quality0.89
Growth0.50
Value0.78
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value239% aboveest. fair value ~$6
Why now
Silver · market cap $2.8b. 10% off the 52-week high of $22.00. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.08 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 30% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 24% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Beta 1.69 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Horizon
1-3 yr $22.85 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $33.46 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $49.63 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · AYA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
100
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$14.90
25% below $19.87
$ at risk if stopped
$496.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA): score, valuation & FAQ
Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (AYA) is a Silver company that scores 70.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (B+), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, AYA sits about 239% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is AYA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AYA 70.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Aya Gold & Silver Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AYA score 70.2 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AYA earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AYA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $19.87, AYA sits about 239% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 32.0x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AYA?
Beta 1.69 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 32x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Hedge-book exposure — many commodity producers hedge forward production; if the hedge book is concentrated at prices well below spot, the upside the market expects is already locked away.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.