Orla Mining Ltd. — Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
ORLA
Orla Mining Ltd. · Gold
FCF$768mC+
Rev+207.6%A
D/E0.42B
P/E13.2xA-
PEG0.07A
71.9Score
$9.75$3.7B
1Y Target$10.53Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$13.29Compound horizon
10Y Target$17.05Long-dated conviction
FCF$768mTTMC+
FCF $768m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+207.6%TTM YoYA
Revenue +207.6% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.42B
D/E 0.42 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E13.2xA-
P/E 13.2 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.07proxyA
PEG 0.07 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 71.9
Quality0.76
Growth0.50
Value0.98
Why this score
Durable high returns
Diluting shareholders
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
56% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value60% belowest. fair value ~$24
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC48.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Gold · market cap $3.7b. Down 56% from 52-week high of $21.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +208% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.07 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
ROE 16% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 56% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $10.53 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $13.29 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $17.05 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · ORLA
$
%
%
Shares to buy
205
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$7.31
25% below $9.75
$ at risk if stopped
$499.69
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA): score, valuation & FAQ
Orla Mining Ltd. (ORLA) is a Gold company that scores 71.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A) and P/E (A-). On valuation, ORLA sits about 60% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is ORLA a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ORLA 71.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Orla Mining Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ORLA score 71.9 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ORLA earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A) and P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ORLA overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $9.75, ORLA sits about 60% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 13.2x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ORLA?
Down 56% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.