COMPARE · Data as of August 21, 2026
AYA vs ORLA
Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. AYA scored 46.4, ORLA scored 65.2 — ORLA leads.
Compare another set
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
46.4
$26.65 · $3.8B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
18.8
ORLA leads
ORLA
Orla Mining Ltd
65.2
$9.44 · $3.5B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
- CheapestORLA13.1x
- Fastest growthAYA+416.7%
- Strongest balance sheetAYA0.17
- Highest qualityAYA88 / 100
- Largest discount to fair valueORLA-35%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
AYA
stronger →← stronger
ORLA
88
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
81
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
23
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
68
AYA and ORLA split the three pillars evenly.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
AYA
ORLA
$56mC-
FCF
$359mC
+416.7%A
Rev
+207.6%A
0.17B+
D/E
0.42B
34.6xC
P/E
13.1xA-
—
PEG
1.34B
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
AYA
ORLA
360% above
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
35% below
~60%/yr
Growth the price implies10-yr FCF · lower = less priced in
~-4%/yr
-83%
1-yr DCF upside
+40%
-78%
5-yr DCF upside
+53%
-69%
10-yr DCF upside
+72%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
AYA
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
ORLA
Why this score
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
The companies
AYAAya Gold & Silver Inc.
Why now
Silver · market cap $3.8b. 8% off the 52-week high of $28.89. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Beta 1.70 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 11.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
ORLAOrla Mining Ltd
Why now
Gold · market cap $3.5b. Down 57% from 52-week high of $21.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +208% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 19% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 42% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 142% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 57% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
ORLA leads AYA by 28 points (72.2 to 44.2), its sharpest advantage coming in P/E (grade A-). A contrarian could still prefer AYA for its stronger D/E (grade B+). All screen as growth-type names but sit in different sectors (Silver versus Gold), so their grades are relative to different peer sets.
Our AI analyst is busy right now, so this verdict is drawn directly from the pillars, grades and DCF above.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where AYA and ORLA diverge
On the headline score the gap is 18.8 points in favor of ORLA. They get there differently, though — each leads on a different pillar, so the better pick depends on which you weight.
- ValueAYA 22.7 · ORLA 68.4ORLA +45.7
- QualityAYA 88.0 · ORLA 81.0AYA +7.0
- GrowthAYA 50.0 · ORLA 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100 against sector peers, so a score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.