Alamos Gold Inc. — Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AGI
Alamos Gold Inc. · Gold
FCF$288mC
Rev+34.3%A
D/E0.05A-
P/E11.6xA-
PEG0.35A
69.4Score
$29.88$12.5B
1Y Target$52.75Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$66.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$85.41Long-dated conviction
FCF$288mTTMC
FCF $288m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+34.3%TTM YoYA
Revenue +34.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.05A-
D/E 0.05 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E11.6xA-
P/E 11.6 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.35proxyA
PEG 0.35 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 69.4
Quality0.83
Growth0.50
Value0.80
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
46% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value134% aboveest. fair value ~$13
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability16% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.7% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Gold · market cap $12.5b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $55.41 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +34% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.35 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $52.75 (implying +77% upside).
Moat
Net margin 49% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $52.75 (4-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $66.60 at ~17% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $85.41 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · AGI
$
%
%
Shares to buy
66
Position size
$1,972
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$22.41
25% below $29.88
$ at risk if stopped
$493.02
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI): score, valuation & FAQ
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a Gold company that scores 69.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). On valuation, AGI sits about 134% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).
Is AGI a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AGI 69.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Alamos Gold Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AGI score 69.4 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AGI earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A) and D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AGI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $29.88, AGI sits about 134% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 11.6x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AGI?
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.