Fortuna Mining Corp. — Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp. · Gold
FCF$563mC+
Rev+39.8%A
D/E0.11A-
P/E7.9xA
PEG0.20A
73.3Score
$8.57$2.6B
1Y Target$9.26Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$11.68Compound horizon
10Y Target$14.99Long-dated conviction
FCF$563mTTM · 03/26C+
FCF $563m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+39.8%TTM YoYA
Revenue +39.8% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.11A-
D/E 0.11 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E7.9xA
P/E 7.9 — cheapest decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.20proxyA
PEG 0.20 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 73.3
Quality0.82
Growth0.50
Value0.96
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
38% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value48% belowest. fair value ~$17
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability20% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.1% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Gold · market cap $2.6b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $13.85 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +40% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.20 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 181% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.12 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $9.26 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $11.68 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $14.99 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · FSM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
233
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$6.43
25% below $8.57
$ at risk if stopped
$499.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Fortuna Mining Corp. (FSM) is a Gold company that scores 73.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). On valuation, FSM sits about 48% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is FSM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FSM 73.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Fortuna Mining Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FSM score 73.3 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FSM earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is FSM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $8.57, FSM sits about 48% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 7.9x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in FSM?
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.12 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.