★OGC
OceanaGold Corporation · Gold
FCF$702mC+
Rev+46.3%A
D/E0.02A
P/E7.4xA
PEG0.16A
1Y Target$26.92Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$33.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$43.59Long-dated conviction
FCF$702mTTM · 03/26C+FCF $702m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+46.3%FY YoYARevenue +46.3% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.02AD/E 0.02 — least levered decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
P/E7.4xAP/E 7.4 — cheapest decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.16proxyAPEG 0.16 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.95
Growth0.50
Value0.93
Why this score
- Raising its dividend
- Cyclical growth
- Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range42% off the 12-month high vs DCF fair value52% belowest. fair value ~$52
Why now
Gold · market cap $5.6b. Down 42% from 52-week high of $43.33 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +46% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.16 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 34% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 42% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.50 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $26.92 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $33.99 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $43.59 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See
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methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · OGC
Position size
$1,994
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$18.70
25% below $24.93
$ at risk if stopped
$498.60
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC): score, valuation & FAQ
OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) is a Gold company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/E (A). On valuation, OGC sits about 52% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is OGC a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores OGC 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of OceanaGold Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does OGC score 72 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). OGC earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and P/E (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is OGC overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $24.93, OGC sits about 52% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 7.4x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in OGC?
Down 42% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.50 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.
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