AngloGold Ashanti plc — Gold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AU
AngloGold Ashanti plc · Gold
FCF$3.3bB
Rev+70.8%A
D/E0.22B+
P/E11.7xA-
PEG0.78A-
70.8Score
$81.91$41.4B
1Y Target$118.38Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$149.45Compound horizon
10Y Target$191.66Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.3bTTMB
FCF $3.3b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+70.8%TTM YoYA
Revenue +70.8% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.22B+
D/E 0.22 — below the Basic Materials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E11.7xA-
P/E 11.7 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.78A-
PEG 0.78 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 70.8
Quality0.94
Growth0.50
Value0.75
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
37% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value50% belowest. fair value ~$163
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability32% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Gold · market cap $41.4b. Down 37% from 52-week high of $129.14 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +71% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.78 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $118.38 (implying +45% upside).
Moat
Net margin 32% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 105% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $118.38 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $149.45 at ~13% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $191.66 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · AU
$
%
%
Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$61.43
25% below $81.91
$ at risk if stopped
$491.46
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a Gold company that scores 70.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, AU sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is AU a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AU 70.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of AngloGold Ashanti plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AU score 70.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AU earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AU overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $81.91, AU sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 11.7x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AU?
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.