Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SITE analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Industrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SITE
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. · Industrial Distribution
FCF$250mC
Rev+3.6%C+
D/E0.67B
P/E26.3xB
PEG1.21B
64.7Score
$95.94$4.2B
1Y Target$127.08Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$186.06Compound horizon
10Y Target$276.01Long-dated conviction
FCF$250mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $250m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 06/26).
Rev+3.6%FY YoY
C+
Revenue +3.6% — steady but below market-beating range · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.67
B
D/E 0.67 — near the Industrials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E26.3x
B
P/E 26.3 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.21est.
B
PEG 1.21 — acceptable premium for growth · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 64.7
Quality56.4
Growth63.4
Value75.9
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
43% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value3% belowest. fair value ~$99
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~12% a year for the next decade — vs the ~22% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $4.2b. Down 43% from 52-week high of $168.56 — deep drawdown territory. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $127.08 (implying +32% upside).
Moat
ROE 10% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 154% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $127.08 (12-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $186.06 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $276.01 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SITE vs the Top Picks average

PillarSITEBook avgDiff
Quality0.560.84-0.27
Growth0.630.84-0.20
Value0.760.78-0.02

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.4 over 47 daily scores
From 62.3 (Jun 22) → 64.7 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-5.1%
90-day change-4.7%
Forward EPS estimate$5.14

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect SITE to earn is drifting lower (-4.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
20
Position size
$1,919
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$71.95
25% below $95.94
$ at risk if stopped
$479.70
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE): score, valuation & FAQ

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) is a Industrial Distribution company that scores 64.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, SITE sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 12% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SITE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SITE 64.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SITE score 64.7 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SITE grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $95.94, SITE sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 12% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 26.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SITE?

Down 43% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 3.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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