Industrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
POOL
Pool Corporation · Industrial Distribution
54.1Score
$159.54Oct 9 close$5.8B
1Y Target$215.50Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$272.06Compound horizon
10Y Target$348.91Long-dated conviction
FCF$313mTTM · 03/26C
FCF $313m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 03/26.
Rev+1.8%TTM YoYC
Revenue +1.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.35C
D/E 1.35 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E14.7xA-
P/E 14.7 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.60C+
PEG 1.60 — modest premium; above fair value
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 54.1
Quality78.6
Growth38.1
Value53.0
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
48% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value23% aboveest. fair value ~$130
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~6% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability40% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC19.4% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $5.8b. Down 48% from 52-week high of $305.63 — deep drawdown territory. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $215.50 (implying +35% upside).
Moat
ROE 36% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 48% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $215.50 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $272.06 at ~11% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $348.91 if the moat survives secular pressure.
POOL vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
POOL
Book avg
Diff
Quality
79
83
-4
Growth
38
89
-51
Value
53
76
-23
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · POOL
Trend
-7.4 over 82 daily scores
From 61.5 (Jun 22) → 54.1 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
POOL at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-0.5%
90-day change
-2.3%
Forward EPS estimate
$11.76
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect POOL to earn is drifting lower (-2.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · POOL
$
%
%
Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,914
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$119.66
25% below $159.54
$ at risk if stopped
$478.62
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Pool Corporation (POOL): score, valuation & FAQ
Pool Corporation (POOL) is an Industrial Distribution company that scores 54.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, POOL sits about 23% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is POOL a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores POOL 54.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Pool Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does POOL score 54.1 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 78.6 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 38.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. POOL earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so POOL is measured against Industrial Distribution peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is POOL overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $159.54, POOL sits about 23% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 10% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 14.7x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in POOL?
Down 48% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.