Bull Rankings model

Global Industrial Company (GIC) stock analysis

Industrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
GIC
Global Industrial Company · Industrial Distribution
64.9Score
$42.95Oct 9 close$1.6B
1Y Target$49.39Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$72.32Compound horizon
10Y Target$107.28Long-dated conviction
FCF$87mTTM · 06/26
C-
FCF $87m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+8.4%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.29
A-
D/E 0.29 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E19.4x
B+
P/E 19.4 — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.13
B+
PEG 1.13 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 64.9
Quality84.3
Growth66.2
Value49.0
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value3% belowest. fair value ~$44
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 4% next year, holding to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~6% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability83% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC26.7% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $1.6b. 3% off the 52-week high of $44.36.
Moat
ROE 25% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 100% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $49.39 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $72.32 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $107.28 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

GIC vs the Top Picks average

PillarGICBook avgDiff
Quality8483in line
Growth6689-23
Value4976-27

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-3.8 over 51 daily scores
From 68.7 (Jun 22) → 64.9 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

GIC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD64.9/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY84.3GROWTH66.2VALUE49.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~4% growth a year from here.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$43LOW $26.4HIGH $44.4Trading near its 52-week high ($26.4–$44.4).
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$42.8$46.1FAIR-VALUE RANGE$43PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$44.2 · price $43 is 3% below it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+25%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+7.0%
Forward EPS estimate$2.21

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GIC to earn is materially higher (+7.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
46
Position size
$1,976
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$32.21
25% below $42.95
$ at risk if stopped
$493.93
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Global Industrial Company (GIC): score, valuation & FAQ

Global Industrial Company (GIC) is an Industrial Distribution company that scores 64.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, GIC sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 4% next year, holding to 4% a year by year ten.

Is GIC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GIC 64.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Global Industrial Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GIC score 64.9 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 84.3 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 49.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. GIC earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so GIC is measured against Industrial Distribution peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is GIC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $42.95, GIC sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 4% next year, holding to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 19.4x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GIC?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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