Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GIC analysis

Global Industrial CompanyIndustrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GIC
Global Industrial Company · Industrial Distribution
FCF$87mC-
Rev+8.4%B
D/E0.29A-
P/E17.9xA-
PEG1.29B
63.5Score
$39.45$1.5B
1Y Target$45.37Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$66.42Compound horizon
10Y Target$98.53Long-dated conviction
FCF$87mTTM
C-
FCF $87m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev+8.4%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.29
A-
D/E 0.29 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E17.9x
A-
P/E 17.9 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.29
B
PEG 1.29 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63.5
Quality83.7
Growth55.8
Value54.8
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value12% aboveest. fair value ~$35
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-4% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability83% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC26.7% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $1.5b. 3% off the 52-week high of $40.71.
Moat
ROE 25% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 100% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $45.37 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $66.42 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $98.53 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GIC vs the Top Picks average

PillarGICBook avgDiff
Quality0.840.84in line
Growth0.560.84-0.28
Value0.550.78-0.24

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-5.2 over 17 daily scores
From 68.7 (Jun 22) → 63.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+7.0%
90-day change-0.4%
Forward EPS estimate$2.20

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GIC to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
50
Position size
$1,973
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$29.59
25% below $39.45
$ at risk if stopped
$493.13
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Global Industrial Company (GIC): score, valuation & FAQ

Global Industrial Company (GIC) is a Industrial Distribution company that scores 63.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-) and P/E (A-), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, GIC sits about 12% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is GIC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GIC 63.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Global Industrial Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GIC score 63.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GIC earns its highest marks on D/E (A-) and P/E (A-), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GIC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $39.45, GIC sits about 12% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 17.9x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GIC?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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