Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CNM analysis

Core & Main, Inc.Industrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CNM
Core & Main, Inc. · Industrial Distribution
FCF$608mC+
Rev+0.5%C
D/E1.16C+
P/E19.0xA-
PEG1.26B
61.3Score
$44.88$8.7B
1Y Target$60.40Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$88.43Compound horizon
10Y Target$131.18Long-dated conviction
FCF$608mTTM
C+
FCF $608m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+0.5%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.5% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.16
C+
D/E 1.16 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E19.0x
A-
P/E 19.0 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.26
B
PEG 1.26 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61.3
Quality69.1
Growth47.8
Value69.8
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value24% belowest. fair value ~$59
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~1% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability33% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC13.7% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $8.7b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $67.18 — deep drawdown territory. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $60.40 (implying +35% upside).
Moat
ROE 23% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 129% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $60.40 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $88.43 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $131.18 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CNM vs the Top Picks average

PillarCNMBook avgDiff
Quality0.690.84-0.15
Growth0.480.84-0.36
Value0.700.78-0.08

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-7.2 over 47 daily scores
From 68.5 (Jun 22) → 61.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+4.8%
90-day change+8.1%
Forward EPS estimate$3.23

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CNM to earn is materially higher (+8.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
44
Position size
$1,975
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$33.66
25% below $44.88
$ at risk if stopped
$493.68
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Core & Main, Inc. (CNM): score, valuation & FAQ

Core & Main, Inc. (CNM) is a Industrial Distribution company that scores 61.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, CNM sits about 24% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CNM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CNM 61.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Core & Main, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CNM score 61.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CNM earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CNM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $44.88, CNM sits about 24% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 1% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 19.0x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CNM?

Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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