Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

DXPE analysis

DXP Enterprises, Inc.Industrial Distribution. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

DXPE
DXP Enterprises, Inc. · Industrial Distribution
FCF$119mC
Rev+11.5%B
D/E1.66C
P/E32.9xC+
PEG0.55A-
67.0Score
$190.28$3.0B
1Y Target$218.82Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$320.38Compound horizon
10Y Target$475.26Long-dated conviction
FCF$119mTTM
C
FCF $119m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+11.5%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +11.5% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.66
C
D/E 1.66 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E32.9x
C+
P/E 32.9 — above the Industrials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.55
A-
PEG 0.55 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 67
Quality59.1
Growth85.8
Value59.4
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value22% aboveest. fair value ~$157
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~19% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability38% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Industrial Distribution · market cap $3.0b. 9% off the 52-week high of $208.00. Revenue growing +11%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.55 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 127% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Trailing P/E 33x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 4.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $218.82 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $320.38 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $475.26 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

DXPE vs the Top Picks average

PillarDXPEBook avgDiff
Quality0.590.84-0.25
Growth0.860.84in line
Value0.590.78-0.19

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.5 over 47 daily scores
From 67.5 (Jun 22) → 67.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.0%
90-day change+2.0%
Forward EPS estimate$7.66

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect DXPE to earn is drifting higher (+2.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
10
Position size
$1,903
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$142.71
25% below $190.28
$ at risk if stopped
$475.70
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE): score, valuation & FAQ

DXP Enterprises, Inc. (DXPE) is a Industrial Distribution company that scores 67 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-). On valuation, DXPE sits about 22% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is DXPE a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores DXPE 67 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of DXP Enterprises, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does DXPE score 67 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). DXPE earns its highest marks on PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is DXPE overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $190.28, DXPE sits about 22% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 32.9x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in DXPE?

Trailing P/E 33x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. Net margin 4.4% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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