Verdict: Side-by-side breakdown using the Bull Rankings model. OGC scored 74.6, AYA scored 70.4 — OGC leads.
Compare another set
OGC
OceanaGold Corporation
Gold · Quality-Growth
74.6
$27.60 · $6.1B
fundamentals as of
Score gap
4.2
OGC leads
AYA
Aya Gold & Silver Inc.
Silver · Quality-Growth
70.4
$27.42 · $3.9B
fundamentals as of
At a glance · who leads each dimension, on the model's own rules
CheapestOGC7.3x
Fastest growthAYA+416.7%
Strongest balance sheetOGC0.02
Highest qualityOGC95 / 100
Largest discount to fair valueOGC-49%
Side by side · every name on one set of axes
Growth against the P/E multiple. Up and to the right is cheaper and faster — the quality-growth idea in one picture. Points beyond the axis are pinned to the edge and marked off-scale rather than allowed to compress everything else.
The model, pillar by pillar (0–100 each)
OGC
stronger →← stronger
AYA
95
Qualityreturns · margins · balance sheet
93
50
Growthrevenue & earnings expansion
50
88
Valuevaluation vs sector peers
75
OGC is stronger on 2 of 3 pillars.
Fundamentals, head-to-head
OGC
AYA
$738mC+
FCF
$88mC-
+46.3%A
Rev
+416.7%A
0.02A-
D/E
0.17B+
7.3xA
P/E
35.6xC
Winner per row is the stronger grade; where grades tie, the better figure breaks it. A true tie or a missing value shows no highlight.
Valuation · DCF cross-check
OGC
AYA
49% below
Price vs fair valuelower is cheaper
199% above
~-2%/yr
Growth the price impliesyr-1 FCF growth, fading to 4% · lower = less priced in
~47%/yr
+54%
1-yr DCF upside
-74%
+98%
5-yr DCF upside
-67%
+182%
10-yr DCF upside
-53%
The DCF is a cross-check on intrinsic value, separate from the quality-growth score above.
Model signals
OGC
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
AYA
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Short track record
The companies
OGCOceanaGold Corporation
Gold · $27.60 · beta 1.50
Why now
Gold · market cap $6.1b. Down 36% from 52-week high of $43.33 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +46% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 35% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 37% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.50 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
AYAAya Gold & Silver Inc.
Silver · $27.42 · beta 1.68
Why now
Silver · market cap $3.9b. 11% off the 52-week high of $30.67. Revenue growing +417% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 33% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 26% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Beta 1.68 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 36x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 11.5x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Verdict — model-derived comparison
OGC leads AYA by 27.8 points (72.0 to 44.2), its sharpest advantage coming in P/E (grade A). All screen as growth-type names but sit in different sectors (Silver versus Gold), so their grades are relative to different peer sets.
Our AI analyst is busy right now, so this verdict is drawn directly from the pillars, grades and DCF above.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Where OGC and AYA diverge
On the headline score the gap is 4.2 points in favor of OGC. The widest single difference is Value, where OGC leads by 12.1 points.
ValueOGC 87.5 · AYA 75.4OGC +12.1
QualityOGC 94.9 · AYA 92.6level
GrowthOGC 50.0 · AYA 50.0level
Pillars run 0–100. Value is judged against each company's own sector, so a Value score is a statement about a company relative to its own industry rather than to the other name here. A wide Value gap usually means the market already prices the difference in quality or growth — which is the trade-off this comparison comes down to.
Common questions
Is OGC or AYA the better stock?
OGC scores higher: OGC 74.6, AYA 70.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth score, which blends business quality, growth and valuation into one number. A higher score means a stronger business at a more reasonable price — it is not a price target or a recommendation.
Where do OGC and AYA differ most?
The widest gap is value, where OGC leads by 12 points on the 0–100 pillar scale. The other two pillars are close enough to call level, so this is the one place they genuinely separate.
How are OGC and AYA scored?
Each carries the same 0–100 quality-growth score used everywhere on the site, built from three pillars — quality (profitability and returns on capital), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (what you pay for them) — combined as a geometric mean, so a weak pillar cannot be papered over by a strong one.
How current is this comparison?
The whole universe is re-scored every trading day after the US market close, so the scores and fundamentals here reflect the latest published edition.