MP vs the Top Picks average
| Pillar | MP | Book avg | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Quality | 20 | 83 | -63 |
| Growth | 50 | 89 | -39 |
| Value | 6 | 76 | -70 |
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
MP at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
| 30-day change | -10.9% |
|---|---|
| 90-day change | -22.4% |
| Forward EPS estimate | $0.80 |
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MP to earn is materially lower (-22.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
MP Materials Corp. (MP): score, valuation & FAQ
MP Materials Corp. (MP) is an Other Industrial Metals & Mining company that scores 18.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), while P/S (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.
Is MP a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores MP 18.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of MP Materials Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does MP score 18.4 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on growth at 50.0 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 6.2 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. MP earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), and is held back by P/S (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so MP is measured against Other Industrial Metals & Mining peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is MP overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for MP — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in MP?
Free cash flow is negative (-$505m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -19.9%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 54% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.