Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

IAG analysis

Iamgold CorporationGold. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

IAG
Iamgold Corporation · Gold
FCF$849mC+
Rev+74.7%A
D/E0.12A-
P/E10.7xA-
PEG13.52D
57.3Score
$21.14$12.1B
1Y Target$23.60Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$34.55Compound horizon
10Y Target$51.26Long-dated conviction
FCF$849mTTM
C+
FCF $849m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+74.7%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +74.7% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.12
A-
D/E 0.12 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E10.7x
A-
P/E 10.7 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG13.52
D
PEG 13.52 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.3
Quality83.9
Growth50.0
Value44.9
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
15% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value48% aboveest. fair value ~$14
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~8% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability21% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.4% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Gold · market cap $12.1b. 15% off the 52-week high of $24.87. Revenue growing +75% — in hypergrowth territory. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $23.60 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
Net margin 26% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 116% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Beta 2.25 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $23.60 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $34.55 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $51.26 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

IAG vs the Top Picks average

PillarIAGBook avgDiff
Quality0.840.84in line
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.450.78-0.33

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+9.5 over 45 daily scores
From 47.8 (Jun 22) → 57.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-3.1%
90-day change-9.1%
Forward EPS estimate$2.28

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect IAG to earn is materially lower (-9.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
94
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$15.86
25% below $21.14
$ at risk if stopped
$496.79
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Iamgold Corporation (IAG): score, valuation & FAQ

Iamgold Corporation (IAG) is a Gold company that scores 57.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, IAG sits about 48% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is IAG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores IAG 57.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Iamgold Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does IAG score 57.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). IAG earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $21.14, IAG sits about 48% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 10.7x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in IAG?

Beta 2.25 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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