Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

IAG analysis

IAMGOLD CorporationGold. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

IAG
IAMGOLD Corporation · Gold
FCF$1.3bC+
Rev+115.9%A
D/E0.15A-
P/E9.7xA-
PEG13.52D
92Score
$16.52
1Y Target$26.30Near-term target
5Y Target$26.61Compound horizon
10Y Target$39.11Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.3bTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $1.3b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+115.9%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +115.9% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.15
A-
D/E 0.15 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet
P/E9.7x
A-
P/E 9.7 — cheap relative to market and most sectors
PEG13.52
D
PEG 13.52 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Why now
Gold · market cap $9.5b. Down 34% from 52-week high of $24.87 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +116% — in hypergrowth territory. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $26.30 (implying +59% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 28% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 129% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 2.21 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $26.30 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $26.61 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $39.11 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
121
Position size
$1,999
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.39
25% below $16.52
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

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