Revenue +68.2% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.37B
D/E 0.37 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E10.4xA-
P/E 10.4 — cheaper than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG11.59D
PEG 11.59 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 28.8
Quality0.70
Growth0.50
Value0.07
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
33% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value785% aboveest. fair value ~$5
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~7% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC16.5% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Gold · market cap $30.5b. Down 33% from 52-week high of $61.64 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +68% — in hypergrowth territory. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $48.34 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 41% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -14% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $48.34 (8-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $70.77 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $104.98 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
GFI vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
GFI
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.70
0.83
-0.13
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.07
0.75
-0.68
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · GFI
Trend
-1.7 over 35 daily scores
From 30.5 (Jun 22) → 28.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · GFI
$
%
%
Shares to buy
48
Position size
$1,973
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$30.83
25% below $41.10
$ at risk if stopped
$493.20
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Gold Fields Limited (GFI): score, valuation & FAQ
Gold Fields Limited (GFI) is a Gold company that scores 28.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/E (A-), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, GFI sits about 785% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.
Is GFI a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores GFI 28.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Gold Fields Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does GFI score 28.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GFI earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/E (A-), and is held back by PEG (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is GFI overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $41.10, GFI sits about 785% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 10.4x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in GFI?
Down 33% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. ROE -14% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.