Revenue +29.5% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.55B+
D/E 0.55 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E76.7xD
P/E 76.7 — most expensive decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.11B+
PEG 1.11 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 47.8
Quality0.68
Growth0.50
Value0.32
Why this score
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
36% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value651% aboveest. fair value ~$27
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC20.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Auto Parts · market cap $10.9b. Down 36% from 52-week high of $323.25 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +29% — in hypergrowth territory. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $315.86 (implying +54% upside).
Moat
ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Trailing P/E 76.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.76 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $315.86 (7-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $462.45 at ~18% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $686.01 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
MOD vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
MOD
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.68
0.83
-0.14
Growth
0.50
0.91
-0.41
Value
0.32
0.75
-0.43
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · MOD
Trend
+3.0 over 34 daily scores
From 44.8 (Jun 22) → 47.8 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · MOD
$
%
%
Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,849
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$154.07
25% below $205.43
$ at risk if stopped
$462.22
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD): score, valuation & FAQ
Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD) is a Auto Parts company that scores 47.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, MOD sits about 651% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.
Is MOD a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores MOD 47.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Modine Manufacturing Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does MOD score 47.8 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MOD earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), D/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is MOD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $205.43, MOD sits about 651% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 76.7x× P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in MOD?
Trailing P/E 76.7x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.76 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.