Bull Rankings model

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) stock analysis

Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
KYIV
Kyivstar Group Ltd. · Telecom Services
72.0Score
$12.10Oct 9 close$2.8B
1Y Target$17.93Analyst consensus · 9 analysts
5Y Target$26.25Compound horizon
10Y Target$38.94Long-dated conviction
FCF$311mFY · 12/25
C
FCF $311m — modest; watch for margin expansion · From the fiscal year ended 12/25 in SEC filings (OCF − CapEx) — this company files no quarterly cash-flow series, so a trailing-twelve-month figure can't be assembled.
Rev+25.9%FY YoY
A-
Revenue +25.9% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%) · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.39
B+
D/E 0.39 — below the Communication Services debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E17.3x
B
P/E 17.3 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.21
B
PEG 1.21 — acceptable premium for growth

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality67.1
Growth87.1
Value73.5
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
27% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value56% belowest. fair value ~$27
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~18% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC12.0% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $2.8b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $16.55 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +26% — in hypergrowth territory. 9 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $17.93 (implying +48% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $17.93 (9-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $26.25 at ~17% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $38.94 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

KYIV vs the Top Picks average

PillarKYIVBook avgDiff
Quality6783-16
Growth8789-2
Value7376-3

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+1.6 over 82 daily scores
From 70.4 (Jun 22) → 72.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

KYIV at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD72.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY67.1GROWTH87.1VALUE73.5Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$22.7$35.3FAIR-VALUE RANGE$12.1PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$27.2 · price $12.1 is 56% below it.
REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$1.2b · 100%Net income$124m · 10.7%Free cash flow$311m · 26.9%Cash flow exceeds reported profit — high-quality earnings.
ANALYST PRICE TARGETS$17.9$12.1TODAY$15 LOWHIGH $209 analysts average $17.9, 48% above today's $12.1. A target isan opinion, not a valuation - our DCF is the independent read.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change+0.0%
Forward EPS estimate$62.64

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect KYIV to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
165
Position size
$1,997
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.07
25% below $12.10
$ at risk if stopped
$499.13
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV): score, valuation & FAQ

Kyivstar Group Ltd. (KYIV) is a Telecom Services company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and D/E (B+). On valuation, KYIV sits about 56% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is KYIV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores KYIV 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Kyivstar Group Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does KYIV score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 87.1 out of 100, with quality the weakest pillar at 67.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. KYIV earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and D/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so KYIV is measured against Telecom Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is KYIV overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $12.10, KYIV sits about 56% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.3x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in KYIV?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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