Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

TMUS analysis

T-Mobile US, Inc.Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc. · Telecom Services
FCF$18.2bA-
Rev+8.5%B
D/E2.19C
P/E19.2xB
PEG0.72A-
72.1Score
$181.48$196.4B
1Y Target$257.92Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$325.62Compound horizon
10Y Target$417.60Long-dated conviction
FCF$18.2bTTM
A-
FCF $18.2b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector
Rev+8.5%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.5% — at or above S&P median
D/E2.19
C
D/E 2.19 — more levered than most Communication Services peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E19.2x
B
P/E 19.2 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.72
A-
PEG 0.72 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72.1
Quality0.74
Growth0.72
Value0.71
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
31% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value53% belowest. fair value ~$390
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability37% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.3% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $196.4b. Down 31% from 52-week high of $261.56 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.72 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $257.92 (implying +42% upside).
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 173% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $196.4b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
D/E 2.19 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $257.92 (26-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $325.62 at ~12% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $417.60 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$136.11
25% below $181.48
$ at risk if stopped
$499.07
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS): score, valuation & FAQ

T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) is a Telecom Services company that scores 72.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are FCF (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, TMUS sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).

Is TMUS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TMUS 72.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by FCF (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of T-Mobile US, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TMUS score 72.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TMUS earns its highest marks on FCF (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is TMUS overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $181.48, TMUS sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 19.2x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in TMUS?

D/E 2.19 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 31% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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