Bull Rankings model

Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) stock analysis

Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
VIV
Telefônica Brasil S.A. · Telecom Services
56.2Score
$12.20Oct 9 close$19.5B
1Y Target$15.46Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$19.52Compound horizon
10Y Target$25.03Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.2bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $2.2b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+6.7%FY YoY
C+
Revenue +6.7% — steady but below market-beating range · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.30
A-
D/E 0.30 — less debt than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E15.6x
B+
P/E 15.6 — below the Communication Services median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.86
B+
PEG 0.86 — near fair value (1.0 is the usual benchmark)

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 56.2
Quality57.9
Growth73.1
Value57.5
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cut its dividend
  • Foreign reporter (BRL)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
29% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value47% belowest. fair value ~$23
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~10% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC8.7% · Breturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $19.5b. Down 29% from 52-week high of $17.26 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.86 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $15.46 (implying +27% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 163% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Dividend payout 120% of earnings on a 7.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $15.46 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $19.52 at ~10% CAGR — the dividend has to outrun share dilution. 10 yr $25.03 if the moat survives secular pressure.

VIV vs the Top Picks average

PillarVIVBook avgDiff
Quality5883-25
Growth7389-16
Value5876-18

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-4.0 over 80 daily scores
From 60.2 (Jun 22) → 56.2 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

VIV at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD56.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY57.9GROWTH73.1VALUE57.5Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$21.2$25.7FAIR-VALUE RANGE$12.2PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$22.9 · price $12.2 is 47% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$12.2LOW $11.2HIGH $17.3Trading at the 17th percentile of its 52-week range ($11.2–$17.3).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+7%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.1%
90-day change+3.0%
Forward EPS estimate$1.07

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect VIV to earn is drifting higher (+3.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
163
Position size
$1,989
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.15
25% below $12.20
$ at risk if stopped
$497.15
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV): score, valuation & FAQ

Telefônica Brasil S.A. (VIV) is a Telecom Services company that scores 56.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, VIV sits about 47% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is VIV a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VIV 56.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Telefônica Brasil S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VIV score 56.2 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 73.1 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 57.5 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. VIV earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so VIV is measured against Telecom Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is VIV overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $12.20, VIV sits about 47% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 8% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 15.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in VIV?

Dividend payout 120% of earnings on a 7.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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